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EganJones Ratings Co'

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Credit Rating Agency Duopoly Relief Act of 2006. PRMIA - Stanford. Dec. 5, 2006 ... ICIX Acquisition ($4 billion debt) Regional Bells ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: EganJones Ratings Co'


1
Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
  • The Future of the Credit Rating Industry
  • Credit Rating Agency Duopoly Relief Act of 2006
  • PRMIA - Stanford
  • Dec. 5, 2006

2
Egan-Jones
  • Timely, Accurate Calls
  • Focused on Performance
  • Focused on Adding Value

3
Egan-Jones Ratings Company
  • Founded in 1992
  • Independent - not paid by Issuers
  • Pure Research no Investment Banking, Money
    Management, or Trading
  • Uniqueness constant trolling for financial
    change
  • Forward looking, capturing investment
    opportunities
  • Success with timely, accurate calls
  • Fed Reserve, Stanford/Michigan Studies

Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
4
Enron(flagged June 27, 2001, filed Dec. 7.
2001)
  • Egan-Jones rated at B when SP was at BBB- and
    Moodys at Baa3
  • Drop in coverage 2.81 for March 2000 to
    2.11 for March 2001
  • California exposure, long telecom capacity,
    credibility
  • Trading Business Needed High Credit Quality
  • Comment on Fraud

Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
5
WorldCom(flagged July 26, 2001, filed July 22,
2002 )
  • Refrain Cannot fail because it generates
  • positive cashflow
  • Tough industry conditions Excess capacity
    Capital expenditures
  • Cut in coverage 13.61 for March 2000 to
    8.81 for March 2001
  • ICIX Acquisition (4 billion debt)
  • Regional Bells
  • Loss of Management Credibility 340 million
    loan, 50 billion
    intangibles

Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
6
(No Transcript)
7
Delphi(flagged Sept. 2001, filed Oct. 2005)
  • Weak industry conditions
  • Excess Capacity
  • Dependence on GM
  • No expected change
  • Comment on Fraud

Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
8
SP cuts BB to BB
EJR at B-
Moodys cuts Baa2 to Baa3
EJR cut to CCC
9
Positive Call Nextel(flagged Nov. 2003,
acquired Aug. 2005)
  • High incentives for consolidation
  • Cashflow was becoming positive
  • Rapid subscriber growth
  • Declining debt
  • Shift in technology (common platform)
  • Egan-Jones at BBB- when Moodys at B2 (11/03)

Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
10
PEW - Post Enron, WorldCom
  • Two types of rating firms
  • SP, Moodys and Fitch 90 of from
    Independents 0 from issuers
  • Rise in Fiduciary Exposure
  • Recognition of conflict
  • No more monkey in the room defense
  • Structural issues investment guidelines,
    indexes
  • Big Bucks - 6 billion paid by IBs for Worldcom

Egan-Jones Ratings Co.
11
Dealing with Coming Changes
  • Regardless of SEC Actions
  • Change Investment Guidelines
  • Broaden Scope
  • Protect from Fiduciary Exposure
  • Call us for future movers

12
Egan-Jones
  • Timely, Accurate Calls
  • Focused on Performance
  • Focused on Adding Value
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