Title: Air Taxis Market trends, Business opportunities, Growth analysis & Forecasts To 2030
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Global Air Taxis Market Size Analysis
Forecasts To 2030 By Component (Hardware,
Software Services), By Aircraft Type
(Multicopter, Side-By-Side, Tilt wing, Tilt
Rotor, Others), By Propulsion System (Parallel
Hybrid, Electric, Turboshaft, Turboelectric,
Others), By Passenger Capacity (One, Two, Four,
Six, Fifteen, Thirty) By Region (North America,
Europe, Asia Pacific, CSA, MEA) Vendor
Landscape, Company Market Share Competitor
Analysis
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- Airbus Air Taxis Market
- Consolidated Revenue 66.8 million Euros in 2017
85 from civil sector and 15 from defense
sector Total number of employees (December
2017) 129442 - Recent technology network for sky military and
communications solution - NFTS combines different communication
technologies to form one resilient global mesh
network, allowing aircraft to be fully part of a
high-speed connected battle space. - Communication network solution will be
interoperable between satellites, aircrafts,
mobile units and command centers which can be
deployed on ground or at sea. - Aim To offer similar seamless experience that
people have with their phone when it switches
its network from one another from 4G to Wi-Fi
without realizing it, with the cyber security
standards and reliability of military
communications David Kingdon-Jones, head of NFTS
at Airbus defense and Space - Integration of various technologies satellite
links with geostationary, low and medium earth
orbit constellations, ground to air, air to
ground and air to air links, 5G mobile
communication cells, voice links, laser
connections all of this combined into single
global secure network. - Key points 1) The network can be reconfigured at
any given time and prioritizes exchanges based
on mission objectives, data flows and available
bandwidth on different links or servers. Thereby
making the management of end to end seamless
connectivity transparent to users. - 2) NTFS will resolve the problem of connectivity
during the entire duration of air missions the
network will enable information superiority which
will extend the multi-mission capabilities of
aircraft. 3) With the development of combat
cloud, mission aircrafts will be able to share
data stored on board and real time applications.
4) The network will offer to re task in flight
combat aircrafts and helicopters from ground by
uploading new and updated mission plans.
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- 5) Zephyr, a high altitude platform will create
permanent cells of several hundred kilometers in
diameter to relay aircraft communications via
Airbus spaceDataHighway laser links. - Notes first phase of modular NTFS end to end
solution is already available. This involves
standardizing the use of high-speed satellite
connectivity on aircraft from now onward with
the help of a range of antennas which have the
ability to switch from one satellite beam to
another in-flight. Hence the V/UHF radio links
and L16 can be extended via a satellite
communication relay from a few hundred kilometers
to thousands of kilometers. - NTFS is the foundation for the connected airborne
battlespace, with the goal to provide a full
operational capability by year 2020. - The program is part of Airbus Future Air Power
project which is fully aligned with the
development of (FCAS) European Future Combat Air
System.
- Airbus Air Taxi VAHANA
- Configuration study
- Highest level requirements low cost, single
passenger, electric VTOL aircraft which provides
utility to large number of people. - Trade study is conducted on the two of the most
compelling configuration of electric VTOL. - Electric helicopter the reason behind conducting
trade study on electric helicopter is because
they are by far the most common VTOL transport
aircraft which is used today. They are efficient
in hovering because of their low disk loadings
and cruise at an average speed.
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- Electric Fan Tilt Wing it is a tandem tilt wing
with eight fans. The extra wings improve the
cruise aerodynamics as compared to that of a
helicopter. During hover, tilt wing has less
power requirement than tilt rotor as the disk
loading on the wings is largely reduced.
Moreover, additional benefit of tilt wing is that
reduced angle of attack on the wing in hover and
in low speed flight because of induced airflow
behind the fan. This offers the benefits of
keeping the flow attached to the wing,
simplifying flight control and aerodynamic
analysis. Eight fans were selected in the Vahana
prototype for the tandem tilt wing configuration
with redundancy in the case of failed motor and
to keep the footprint of the vehicle small.
Green 1 rotor, Cyan 4 fans, Blue 8 fans, blue
8 fans, magneta 12 fans and red 16 fans. The
above graph is the overall design of footprint
changes of the vehicle with different number of
fans/rotors. Sizing of Vahana The sizing
process of Vahana was a tough task to do
manually, especially with mission constraints and
parameters. The technique used for sizing the
vehicle was MDO (multi disciplinary optimization)
technique. This approach allowed the
manufacturer to benefit from numerical
optimization technique that satisfied all the
constraints of design variables. Defining the
mission The concept of operations of Vahana was a
combination of number of intriguing idea. At
early stage, the mission was to enable the
aircraft for vertical takeoff, cruise for
specified distance, transition to forward
flight, transition back to hover and vertical
landing. The vertical takeoff and landing process
was assumed to be of limited duration of 90
seconds each. Technology used
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- During the trade study, in order to make the fair
comparison between the two configuration same
technology were used. For automated flight
without pilot in both the configuration same
computing resources and same sensors were used. - In 2016, lithium polymer battery technology of
the Vahana had a specific energy of just under
200Wh/kg during the time of installation. This
wass projected to show 5-6 improvement per year
for three years, which gives it a pack level
energy of 230Wh/kg. - There is currently ongoing development in the
motor controllers with higher switching
frequencies which is expected to achieve motor
system specific power of 6kW/kg or better. - The helicopter was assumed to have redundant
electric motors which are driving the main rotor
through transmission. Moreover development was
done to gain kinetic energy in the blades during
autorotation. Each motor was sized to generate
1.7 times the thrust to allow sufficient control
authority and to handle motor failure. Provisions
were made for ballistic parachute for the tilt
wing aircraft because of lack of autorotation
capability. - Sizing problem of multidisciplinary design
optimization (MDO) - The three key elements that are needed to be
defined in optimization problems are - The objective function
- The design variable
- The constraints that design must satisfy
- Objective function
- Vahana manufacturers used direct operating cost
as their main objective to capture most of the
economics associated with the operations and
performance of an aircraft. There are other
objectives also which are taken into
consideration at different stages such as safety
and reliability metrics and noise footprint. The
DOC model for Vahana was based on ATA (Air
Transportation Association). Costs are
subdivided into various components such as - Components costs (motors, battery, avionics and
servos) - Structural materials, tooling and manufacturing
- Parachute recovery system
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- Various costs used in high level design variables
are - Design cruise speed
- Main rotor radius (helicopter), Fan radius (tilt
wing) - Maximum takeoff weight
- Battery weight
- Motor weight
- Constraints
- Each aircraft is required to satisfy several
explicit and critical constraints such as - Maximum power requirement from each motor
individually should be less than the available
motor power. - To complete the reserve mission the energy
required should be less than the available
battery energy. - The calculated weight during takeoff should be
less than maximum takeoff weight design
variable. - The rotor of the helicopter should have enough
kinetic energy for the flare at touchdown after
an auto rotation. - Aerodynamic Performance Model
- For noise reason, the performance and size of
both electric helicopters and tilt wing fans are
majorly boosted by a maximum blade tip Mach
number constraint of 0.65. The RPM of helicopter
rotor is set by the above mentioned constraint
in cruise, where as for tilt wing it is set at
1.75 times hover thrust condition which allows
aircraft in maneuvering margin with failed motor. - For both the configuration, the performance of
hover estimates were based on the theory of blade
element momentum along with corrections for the
tip losses and assumed values for the blade
profile solidity and drag coefficient. The
performance measure for tilt wing cruise is based
on a quadratic drag polar with span efficiency
of 1.3, which can be achieved with non planner
tandem wing configuration. Excrescence drag area
and conservative fuselage was taken as same for
both electric helicopter and tilt wing aircraft.
The wing area of tilt wing was set by specific
cruise configuration stall at 35 m/s speed.
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For tilt wing canard and wing weights are taken
as a bonded structure which consists of carbon
fiber skins and spars with aluminum ribs. Drag,
lift, ribs, torsion and thrust loads are further
considered during sizing. The fan blade and
rotor were assumed as a core composite structure
to take the flap, lag, centrifugal and torsion
loads along with an aluminum fitting to connect
to the hub. Based on the historical trends for
helicopter skids the landing gear for both the
configuration was taken as 2 of the maximum
takeoff weight.
- Conclusion
- Electric helicopter was shown to be a compelling
configuration at low design range where as for
longer range the improved cruise aerodynamics
makes the tilt wing aircraft configuration more
compelling. The exact DOC values and crossover
points are sensitive to many more assumptions in
such a conceptual designing tool. - Notes
- Vahana is a single-seat capacity, eight rotor
aircraft which is an all electric and self
flying/ pilotless, equipped with cameras, radar,
LiDAR sensors. The aircraft is designed to
maneuver around airplanes, birds and other
drones. - Vahana is based on electric vertical takeoff and
landing technology with wings to change position
midflight. - Maximum battery range will be of 62 miles and
consumers cost will be in between USD 1.50 to
USD 2.50 per mile. - Vahana will be equipped with parachute that
automatically deploys in emergency situation,
saving the entire craft and its passengers. - Project Vahana started in early 2016 as one of
the first projects at A-cubed the advanced
projects and partnerships outpost of airbus group
in silicon valley. - The aim was to fly the full size prototype of
Vahana before the end of 2017 and have product
based demonstrator by 2020. However the prototype
of Vahana was first tested on January 31 2018. - Share price
- Since July 2000 share of airbus is listed on
- Paris Stock Exchange
- Frankfurt Stock Exchange
- Spanish stock exchanges in Bilbao, Madrid,
Valencia and Barcelona.
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Type of shares Bearer shares The share of Airbus
is an exclusively ordinary with a par value of 1
euro. The total number of authorized share
capital amounts to 3000000000 shares. 30th
September 2018, Total number of issued shares is
776,295,452 Total number of treasury shares is
679,940
1st January 2017, Total number of issued shares
is 772912869 Shares issued for ESOP
1643193 1st January 2016, Total number of shares
issued 785,344,784 Shares issued for ESOP
1474716 Airbus dividend policy since 2013 has
shown strong commitment to shareholders returns.
The policy targets sustainable growth in the
dividend within a payout ratio ranging from
30-40.
DATE OPEN () HIGH () LOW () CLOSE () VOLUME
01-10-2018 108.68 108.74 107.10 107.40 824742
02-07-2018 97.65 99.11 97.03 97.71 1658934
29-03-2018 94.48 95.07 93.62 93.80 1787075
02-01-2018 83.03 83.48 82.22 82.64 1372454
29-09-2017 79.95 80.41 79.58 80.41 2099116
03-07-2017 72.72 73.32 72.45 73.10 1203565
03-04-2017 71.40 71.82 71.30 71.36 1272288
02-01-2017 62.68 63.33 62.31 62.82 594839
03-10-2016 53.84 54.00 53.36 53.74 741270
01-07-2016 51.86 52.12 50.85 51.48 1833698
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01-04-2016 57.15 57.35 55.66 56.98 4244681
04-01-2016 61.15 61.87 60.16 60.86 2885672
QUATERLY SHARE PRICE OF AIRBUS IN EURONEXT AIR
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE
29-12-2018 85.45 85.45 83.33 83.41
02-01- 2017 62.16 63.24 62.16 62.91
30-12-2016 62.30 62.52 61.74 62.50
YEARLY SHARE PRICE OF AIRBUS IN FRANKFURT AIR
29-12-2017 84.03 84.17 83.33 83.67
02-01-2017 62.40 63.34 62.40 62.86
14-10-2016 51.88 52.96 51.88 52.57
YEARLY SHARE PRICE OF AIRBUS IN XETRA AIR
29-12-2017 83.55 84.20 83.20 83.45
30-12-2016 61.90 62.70 61.85 62.60
14-10-2016 51.75 52.60 51.75 52.40
YEARLY SHARE PRICE OF AIRBUS IN MADRID AIR
STATISTICAL FIGURES
AIRBUS FULL YEAR 2017 FULL YEAR 2016 FULL YEAR 2015 CHANGE (2016-17) CHANGE (2015-16)
Revenues, in millions 66767 66581 64450 0 3
Research Development 2807 2970 3460 -5 -14
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expenses, in millions
Earnings per Share 3.71 1.29 3.43 188 -62
Order Intake 157690 134480 158967 17 -15
Employees 129442 133782 136574 -3 -2
Net Cash Position, in millions 13391 11113 10,003 20 11
(Amounts are in Euro)
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