S&P 500 Chart Foretells A Bearish October… - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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S&P 500 Chart Foretells A Bearish October…

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A unique look at an S&P 500 chart reveals market trouble is likely heading our way. But as you’ll se, that may be good news for gold. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: S&P 500 Chart Foretells A Bearish October…


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Commodity Trading Research
SP 500 Chart Foretells A Bearish October
2
Welcome to Commodity Trading Research Your
premier site for fundamental and technical
analysis for profitable Commodity Trading. For
more info on Commodity Trading Research visit our
website www.CommodityTradingResearch.com
3
  • Get Your Free Report on the BEST Commodity
    Stocks!
  • Well tell you about this
  • Special Offer
  • at the end of the video!

4
  • Hi, My name is Justin and Im with Commodity
    Trading Research, today were reviewing our
    recently published article

5
  • Does This SP 500 Chart Foretell Another Stock
    Downturn?

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  • Last weeks Federal Reserve meeting did little to
    soothe stock market anxiety
  • In fact, major indices dropped sharply last
    Friday as investors tried to decipher the US
    central banks Thursday decision to keep interest
    rates at 0.

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  • Making matters worse, stocks traded sideways in a
    volatile fashion yesterday as indecision ruled
    the day.
  • Why are stocks acting so poorly?

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  • Much of the recent equity bearishness has to do
    with the looming onset of higher interest rates.
    According to Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen, the US
    economy is doing welland higher rates coming soon.

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  • However, the Fed chose not to raise rates in
    September since theresstill adistinct risk of a
    US slowdown due to global economic weakness. Of
    course, most of the global weakness worriesstem
    from China.

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  • Recent economic data from the worlds second
    largest economy reveals a sharp slowdown in
    manufacturing and export activity.

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  • While these fundamental factors are certainty
    having an impact on market sentiment, itsa
    technical development that really has me sitting
    up in my chair

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  • As you can see, investors made a valiant attempt
    to rally the SP 500 above 2,000 last week- an
    important psychological level.

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  • But it didnt work

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  • The closely watched market index reversed sharply
    lower by the end of last week, leaving a
    foreboding reversal bar on the weekly chart.

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  • Heres the deal- should the SP 500 break below
    1,950 in coming days (the low of last weeks bar)
    theres a very good chance the index retests the
    1,875 area (red line)last seen in August.

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  • And get this
  • If data arrives supporting the idea Chinas
    economy is actually worse off than expected, a
    test of the October 2014 lows at 1,825 (green
    line) isnt out of the question.

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  • As a result, we could be on the cusp of a 7-8
    downturn in the SP 500.
  • And remember, were smack dab in the middle of a
    historically bearish period for the markets.

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  • September and October are typically the weakest
    months of the year for stocks.

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  • What would such a bearish move in the SP 500 do
    for gold?

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  • As Ive mentioned before, gold is typically seen
    as a flight to safety asset in times of extreme
    market uncertainty. While the metal saw firm
    upside as stocks plummeted in August,

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  • the yellow metal has failed to impress the past
    few weeks.
  • But that may soon change

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  • Notice how gold has failedto make a new low in
    September. When a market fails to set a new low
    after a long downtrend its a good sign selling
    momentum is waning.

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  • You also notice how the metal is on the verge of
    breaking above an important downtrend line near
    1,150 an ounce.

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  • Should gold rally above this technical resistance
    level, a rush to higher prices may ensue as short
    sellers buy back their positions.

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  • Bottom line

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  • The past few days have been highly indecisive and
    volatile in the SP 500. But if the index breaks
    below 1,950 in coming days theres a very good
    chance of another sharp downturn in stocks.

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  • Such a situation may provide the bullish
    environment needed to push gold above technical
    resistance at 1,150 and onto higher prices.
    Remember, there are some great options for
    trading the yellow metal via gold ETFs.

30
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