Probabilities of Getting Dealt a Particular Poker Hand - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Probabilities of Getting Dealt a Particular Poker Hand

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Title: Probabilities of Getting Dealt a Particular Poker Hand


1
Probabilities of Getting Dealt a Particular Poker
Hand
2
  • First we must compute the total number of
    possible 5-card combinations. The number of ways
    5 cards can be drawn from a deck of 52 would be
    52C5 or (52!)/(52-5)!(5!) 52!/47!5!
    2,598,960 possible hands.

3
  • A straight is a combination of 5 consecutive
    numbers of any suit (excluding all being the same
    suit). A straight would be 1) 2-3-4-5-6, 2)
    3-4-5-6-7, etc. The are 10 such ordered sets and
    each of the five cards can have any suit. Since
    we want straights excluding the possibility of
    having them in the same suit, we need to subtract
    the probability of getting a straight flush.

4
  • The probably of getting a straight flush is,
    again, 1 pulled from 10 sets, but this time all
    of them having a suit that is a single choice
    from 4 possibilities. So, 10C1 x 4C1 x 4C1 x 4C1
    x 4C1 - 10C1 x 4C1 (10)(4)(4)(4)(4)(4)
    (10)(4) 10,240 40 10,200 possible straight
    sets that are not straight flushes. The
    probability of getting a straight (excluding
    straight flushes) is 10,200/2,598,960 0.003924
    or 0.392.

5
  • If you haven't noticed already, it seems that the
    best strategy in many cases is to try and go for
    the pair of jacks or better. And in fact in most
    cases it is! Your odds of getting a dealt a Jacks
    or better hand is simply 16/48 x 15/47 10.6
    (assuming the first 3 cards dealt to you are not
    what you are looking for).
  • Source http//www.pokercheatdevice.com/news/2520.
    html
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