Steve Heminger Executive Director, MTC

1

• Steve HemingerExecutive Director, MTC
• National Stone, Sand Gravel Association
• San Francisco, CA
• February 27, 2007

2
Commissioners

• Mary Peters Secretary of Transportation
  Chairperson
• Jack Schenendorf Of Counsel, Covington Burling
  Vice Chair
• Frank Busalacchi Wisconsin Secretary of
  Transportation
• Maria Cino Deputy Secretary of Transportation
• Rick Geddes Director of Undergraduate Studies,
  Cornell University
• Steve Heminger Executive Director, Metropolitan
  Transportation Commission
• Frank McArdle General Contractors Association of
  New York
• Steve Odland Chairman and CEO, Office Depot
• Patrick Quinn Chairman, American Trucking
  Association
• Matt Rose CEO, Burlington Northern Santa Fe
  Railroad
• Tom Skancke CEO, The Skancke Company
• Paul Weyrich Chairman and CEO, Free Congress
  Foundation

3
Statutory Mandate

• Study current condition and future needs of
  surface transportation system
• Evaluate short-tem sources for Highway Trust Fund
  revenues and long-term alternatives to replace or
  supplement fuel tax
• Frame policy and funding recommendations for 15-,
  30-, and 50-year time horizons
• Report to Congress by January 1,2008

4
Field Hearings

• September 20-21, 2006 Dallas, TX
• November 1516, 2006 New York, NY Memphis, TN
• February 2122, 2007 Los Angeles, CA Atlanta, GA
• April 1819, 2007 Chicago, IL Minneapolis, MN

5
System Maintenance
6
Pavement Ride Quality
National Highway System for 2004
100
91
91
91
89
80
60
Acceptable
52
Good
50
40
48
39
20
0
1997
2000
2002
2004
Source U.S. DOT
7
Bridge Conditions
Bridge Deficiency Percentages
Source U.S. DOT
8
Transit System Conditions
3.47
3.50
3.48
3.38
3.42
3.05
3.07
3.08
2.88
2.94
Source U.S. DOT
9
Traffic Congestion
10
Highway Operational Performance

• Percent VMT Under Congested Conditions

35
31.6
30.7
29.6
30
27.5
25.9
25
20
15
10
5
0
1995
1997
2000
2002
2004
Source U.S. DOT
11
In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually
Source Texas Transportation Institute
12
Growth in Transit Ridership
23 Growth in Total Ridership from 1995 to 2004
50
40
30
20
10
0
Heavy Rail
Commuter Rail
Light Rail
Demand Response
Motorbus
Vanpool
Ferryboat
Nearly half of the growth in total Transit
Passenger Miles from 1995 to 2004 has come from
the Heavy Rail mode.
Source U.S. DOT
13
Safety
14
(No Transcript)
15
(No Transcript)
16
U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities Per 100 Million
VMT
Source Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004
17
Safety Transit Fatalities
Fatalities per 100 Million PMT
248 Total Transit Fatalities in 2004
Fatalities per 100 Million PMT by Mode
Source U.S. DOT
Source U.S. DOT
18
Freight
19
Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade
Volume of trade 2004 and 2020
Source U.S. DOT
20
More trade means more domesticfreight movements
U.S. domestic freight tonnage growth forecast,
2000-2020
U.S. domestic freight tonnage forecasts by mode,
2000-2020
(tons in millions)
2020
2000
21,682
17,296
13,772
10,700
2,891
1,470
25
2,009
1,054
9
62
44
39
181
57
change 2000-2020
Source U.S. DOT
21
Freight Tons, Value, and Ton-Miles, 2002
Trucking dominates domestic freight movement
rail is critical to the movement of bulky,
lower-value commodities and for heavy shipments
moving long distances
80
s
Truck
74
Rail
67
70
Water
Air
60
Pipeline
Multiple Modes
Other/Unknown Modes
50
40
40
Percent
40
30
20
16
13
9
10
7
6
6
4
3
3
3
2
1
2
1
0
0
Tons
Value
Ton-Miles
Source Bureau of Transportation Statistics and
U.S. Census Bureau, 2002 Economic Census,
Transportation, 2002 Commodity Flow Survey,
Table 1b.
22
Rail Network Today
Todays rail network has been rationalized and
downsized to a core network that is descended
directly from the 19th Century design
23
Fuel Efficiency(Energy Independence)
24
U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles
19752004 Model Years Sales-Weighted Horsepower
and MPG
25
International Fuel Economy Comparison

• Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG
  emission standards for new-sale light-duty
  vehicles

26
Finance
27
Estimated Highway and Transit Program Levels and
HTF Account Balances
Assuming Level Funding After 2009
50
Highway Program
40
30
20
Transit Program
10
Dollars (in Billions)
Transit Balance
0
-10
-20
Highway Balance
-30
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
-40
Based on Presidents 2006 Budget and 2006
Budget Mid Session Review revenue estimates
28
National Funding Gap
600
Cost toImprove
500
Cost toMaintain
Revenue
400
Gap to Improve 107 Billion per year (through
2015)
Year-of-Expenditure Dollars (in Billions)
Gap to Maintain 50 Billion per year (through
2015)
300
200
100
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
2021
2024
2027
2030
Year
Source U.S. Chamber of Commerce
29
Fuel Tax Purchasing Power Is Eroding
20
18.3
16.2
15
14.0
12.2
Cents per Gallon
10
5
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
Source AASHTO
30
While Construction Costs Are Increasing

• Street and highway construction costs have
  increased dramatically over the past few years

Table shows the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Producer Price Index rates over the past twenty
years as indexed
31
State Gasoline Tax Rates including Sales and
Petroleum Taxes Plus Local Option Gas Tax
As of April 2006
Cents per Gallon
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
NY
CT
MI
NV
FL
RI
IN
OH
ME
WV
ID
OR
SD
MD
ND
MN
IA
NH
DC
TX
VI
MS
NM
OK
NJ
AK
CA
IL
WI
PA
HI
WA
NC
MT
NE
GA
KS
UT
MA
DE
CO
AR
TN
AL
LA
VT
AZ
KY
MO
SC
WY
State
Source American Petroleum Institute
32
Recent Public Private Partnerships
Hiawatha Light Rail Line
Northwest Parkway
Tacoma Narrows Bridge
Denver E-470
Chicago Skyway Asset Sale
CREATE
I-15 Reconstruction
Indiana Toll Road Asset Sale
Jamaica JFK Airtrain
Reno Rail Corridor
Hudson Bergen Light Rail Line
-
Las Vegas Monorail
Camden Trenton Light Rail Line
Alameda Corridor
Dulles Greenway
Foothill Eastern Toll Road
Pocahontas Parkway
SR 125 Toll Road
San Joaquin Hills Toll Road
Southern Connector
AZ-17
NM 44 (US 550)
Central Texas Turnpike
Osceola Parkway
Project Location
-
Trans Texas Corridor
Intermodal Projects in Green
Miami Intermodal Center
Highway Projects in Blue
Transit Projects in Yellow
Source Public Works Financing
33
Contact the commission atinfo_at_surfacecommission
.gov