ITS as a new market for telecommunication in Ubiquitous ICT

1
ITS as a new market for telecommunication
in Ubiquitous ICT
Tadao Saito CTO, Toyota Infotech
Center Professor Emeritus the
University of Tokyo
2
Content

• ICT markets for ubiquitous communication
• Global Standard efforts to expand ICT markets for
  Ubiquitous applications
• Automobile as an Ubiquitous market
• New telecommunication performance requirements
  for ITS communication

3
Content

• ICT markets ubiquitous communication
• Global Standard efforts to expand ICT markets for
  Ubiquitous applications
• Automobile as an Ubiquitous market
• New telecommunication performance requirements
  for ITS communication

4
Saturation of Current IT Market

• Communication Computers
• Terminals
• 1950
• 108 105
• 1970
• 109 107
• 1990
• 109 109 personalize
• 2010
• ? ?
• 2030

?
5
Saturation of Current IT Market

• Communication Computers
• Terminals
• 1950
• 108 105
• 1970
• 109 107
• 1990
• 109 109 personalize
• 2010
• 1011
  ubiquitous
• 2030

6
Advances in Processors

• Moores Law
• prediction of advances 19601965
• predicted one chip processor of 1970
• 1971?11? 4004 2,300transistors
• 1974?4? 8080 6,000transistors
• 1978?6? 8080 29,000transistors(510MHz
  )
• 1985?10? 386 275ktransistors(1633MHz
  )
• 1993?3? Pentium
  5Mtransistors(60300MHz)
• 2000?11? Pentium4
  80Mtransistors(1.43.8GHz)
• 2007?11? Itanium dual core 2Btransistors
  server chip
• (106times in 36 years) (Intel Dec 2007)

7
Barriers for improvements

• Continuous dispute on possibility of further
  growth
• In many discussions negative view seems to be
  reasonable.
• In history who gave up continuation of growth
  always failed in competition
• Current bottleneck is radio frequency to support
  communication.
• Other bottlenecks requiring development efforts
  are
• Energy
• Lithography
• Market growth
• Attractive application target
• Target oriented efforts are always important.
• Automobile technology is important target for ICT
  development.

8
Content

• ICT markets ubiquitous communication
• Global Standard efforts to expand ICT markets for
  Ubiquitous applications
• Automobile as an Ubiquitous market
• New telecommunication performance requirements
  for ITS communication

9
100M
Proposal of combination of multiple radios in
1994 in Japanese government report which is the
source of contribution for B3G in 2002.
CATV
10M
Wireless LAN
2M
B-ISDN
1.5M
video
N-ISDN
FPLMTS (3rd Generation)
TV conference
64k
Transmission speed
32k
PHS
9.6k
G3FAX PC communication Voice
Digital cellular
Mobile satellite
2.4k
Analogue cellular
1.2k
pager
Short message
home
office
city
suburban
rural
Service area
A book titled Radio multimedia of
year 2000 published May 1995 in Japanese
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ITU?R vandiagram(2002)
11
IPv6
IMS
12
(No Transcript)
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Current VAN diagram
2G?2.5G?3G?3,5G?4G
802.??IEEE
MOBILITY
Mobile WiMAX
High speed
4G
3G
802.16e
2G (PDC)
3.5G
WiMAX
2.5G
802.20
802.11p
DSRC
802.16-2004
WiFi
)
802.11n
802.11b
802.11a/g
802.15.3 (UWB)
stationary


100k
10k
1M
10M
100M
1G
TRANSMISSION RATE (bps)
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Content

• ICT markets ubiquitous communication
• Global Standard efforts to expand ICT markets for
  Ubiquitous applications
• Automobile as an Ubiquitous market
• New telecommunication performance requirements
  for ITS communication

15
Advances in recent 10 years in ICT Application
for automobile

• Traditionally ICT improved many aspects of
  vehicles including emission reduction and
  stability control.
• In recent 10 years, contribution of ICT in
  vehicle technology expanded fast.
• Vehicle Stability Control
• Radar Cruise Control
• Back Monitor
• Tire Pressure Monitor
• On Demand Information
• Shift Control based on Map
• Autonomous?Networked
• Interests for Communication,
• V2I and V2V

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ICT Infrastructure for Traffic Improvement

• 1970s Signal control
• 1980s Major improvements build in electronics
  for vehicle
• 1990s DSRC for Infrastructure-Vehicle
  communication
• Traffic Data
• Toll Collection
• 2000s Transport Telematics
• 2005s Vehicle Safety Systems

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ITS
ITS Architecture (by ITS America)
Centers
Travelers
Traffic Management
Maintenance Construction Management
Commercial Vehicle Administration
Toll Administration
Emergency Management
Remote Traveler Support
Archived Data Management
Fleet Freight Management
Transit Management
Emissions Management
Information Service Provider
Personal Information Access
Fixed point to fixed point Communications
Wide Area Wireless (Mobile) Communications
Vehicle to Vehicle Communications
Roadway
Vehicle
Dedicated Short Range Communications
Emergency Vehicle
Security Monitoring
Field
Toll Collection
Commercial Vehicle
Parking Management
Transit Vehicle
Commercial Vehicle Check
Maintenance Construction Vehicle
Vehicles
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Travelers
Centers
Wide Area Wireless Communications
Fixed Point to Point Communications
Vehicle
Field
19
Centers
Travelers
Wide Area Wireless Communications
Fixed Point to Point Communications
Vehicle
Field
20
Travelers
Centers
Fixed Point to Point Communications
Vehicle
Field
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ITS Vehicle services

• Traffic management
• probing, dynamic fee management, emission
  management
• Public transport management
• transit vehicle tracking, multimodal coordination
  
• Traveler information
• personal route guidance, provider based route
  guidance,dynamic rideshare
• Vehicle safety
• intersection safety warning, intersection
  collision avoidance, automated highway
• Commercial vehicle operation
• fleet administration, freight administration,
  electronic clearance, weigh-in- motion
• Emergency management
• stolen vehicle tracking, stolen vehicle control,
  emergency response, mayday support

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In the past applications requiring high speed
response were outside of IP network
CALM System Management
Internet ITS Application
Existing ITS Application
Directory
Internet Standard
Application
Networking Management
Network Interface IPv6
CALM Architecture ISO TC204
Station Management
2/2.5G
3G
CALM IR
CALM M5
CALM MM
WiMax
ISOTC204
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Neutral Network Service
Contents and Applications
Contents and Applications
Platform
Platform
Packet Transport
Packet Transport
Packet Transport
Physical Transport
Physical Transport
Physical Transport
Vehicle
Service Provider
Network Service
Surrounding a neutral network, many telematics
service providers can develop services To expand
market Standardization of platform and
application is important.
24
Content

• ICT markets ubiquitous communication
• Global Standard efforts to expand ICT markets for
  Ubiquitous applications
• Automobile as an Ubiquitous market
• New telecommunication performance requirements
  for ITS communication

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Cell Phone as the Forerunner for Vehicle
Communication

• In 1990s Cell phone services became ubiquitous
  and quickly saturated in personal service market
  
• Transport Telematics was expected to cultivate
  new market for Cell Phone Carriers.
• Business model to charge for car telecom module
  as the second personal cell phone did not work in
  90s.
• In 2000s transport telematics is a
  auto-manufacturer based MVNO service and efforts
  are paid to promote providing useful services for
  automobile users.
• Although performance of Cell Phone does not
  satisfy the requirement for ITS, appropriate
  design to satisfy requirement should be possible
  if new market is possible in future.

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Broad Range of Requirements for Machine to
Machine Communication

• Latency for Setup
• 0.1msec 10msec 1sec 100sec
• Distance of Communication
• 0.01m 1m 100m 10km 1000km
• Data Speed
• 1b/s 100b/s 10kb/s 1Mb/s 100Mb/s
• Coverage
• point, surrounding, linear, plane(operator,
  national ,global)
• Addressing
• location, person, vehicle, machine, situation
• Error rate
• 10-9, 10-7, 10-5, 10-3, 10-1
• Technology life
• 5 years, 10 years, 20years, 100years

27
An Example of Performance Requirement for Vehicle
Service
100sec
Current Networks Internet POTS
latency
1sec
10msec
Vehicle Networks
0.1msec
distance
1m
10km
100m
1000km
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Communication performance requirement for
intersection safety warning

• Latency for Setup 10msec
• Distance of Communication 1m 100m
• Data Speed 100b/s
  10kb/s
• Coverage
  surrounding
• Addressing location
• Error rate 10-5
  10-3
• Life of technology roadside 50
  years
• 
  vehicle 20 years

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Communication performance requirement for
intersection collision avoidance

• Latency for Setup 10msec
• Distance of Communication 1m 100m
• Data Speed 100b/s
  10kb/s
• Coverage
  surrounding, linear
• Addressing location
• Error rate 10-9
  10-5
• Life of technology roadside
  50 years
• 
  vehicle 20 years

30
Communication performance requirement for mayday
support

• Latency for Setup 1sec 100sec
• Distance of Communication 10km 1000km
• Data Speed 10kb/s
  1Mb/s
• Coverage plane
  (global cross border)
• Addressing vehicle,
  machine
• Error rate 10-5
  10-3
• Life of technology roadside 50
  years
• 
  vehicle 20 years

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Telecommunication network is changing rapidly

• Telecommunication used to be a given social
  infrastructure which is difficult to change.
• Around 2010, global telecommunication
  infrastructure will begin to change.
• Traditional
  network-gtAll IP network
• 
  IPv4-gtIPv6
• Analogue
  TV-gt Digital TV
• Person to person communication-gtMachine to
  machine communication
• Vehicle is an important market for
  telecommunication business.
• It is an important timing to propose to construct
  telecommunication infrastructure which is suited
  for vehicle use.
• Clarification of requirement from the view point
  of vehicle is now required.
• This requirements are also important for
  telecommunication to get expanded market in
  ubiquitous network era.