Gynaecology - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

1 / 50
About This Presentation
Title:

Gynaecology

Description:

Gynaecology – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:136
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 51
Provided by: johngui
Category:
Tags: bfa | gynaecology

less

Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: Gynaecology


1
Is human population size the ultimate driver of
environmental unsustainability? If so, what can
we do about it?
Cambridge 25th June 2008
John Guillebaud (Gil-boe) Emeritus Professor of
Family Planning and Reproductive Health,
University College, London Trustee, Margaret Pyke
Trust, London Surgeon, Elliot-Smith Vasectomy
Clinic, Oxford
2
Each dot 1 million people
3
(No Transcript)
4
(No Transcript)
5
(No Transcript)
6
(No Transcript)
7
(No Transcript)
8
(No Transcript)
9
(No Transcript)
10
(No Transcript)
11
James Gasana, Rwanda's Minister of Agriculture
and Environment in 1990-92
  • In the report I wrote for the IUCN's Task Force
    on Environment and Security, I suggested that
    four lessons be learned from this tragic chapter
    in Africa's history
  • First, rapid population growth is the major
    driving force behind the vicious circle of
    environmental scarcities and rural poverty. In
    Rwanda it induced the use of marginal lands on
    steep hillsides, shortening of fallow,
    deforestation, and soil degradation-and resulted
    in severe shortages of food.
  • www.peopleandplanet.net/doc.php?id1780

12
The 9/11 Commission Report
  • By the 1990s, high birth rates and declining
    rates of infant mortality had produced a common
    problem throughout the Muslim world a large,
    steadily increasing population of young men
    without any reasonable expectation of suitable or
    steady employment is a sure prescription for
    social turbulence.

13
The Pill is Mightier Than The Sword
14
Population growth 1950 -2050
Source United Nations, World Population
Prospects The 2002 Revision (medium scenario),
2003.
15
(No Transcript)
16
(No Transcript)
17
(No Transcript)
18
(No Transcript)
19
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ARE HARD TO PREDICT OR
QUANTIFY - but the poor are already suffering
most!
20
  • 1500
  • Barrels
  • of
  • oil/gas
  • equivalent

  • per second

21

22
Water
Aquifers emptying
Per capita demand for water globally is
estimated to exceed the available sources by
about 2050 - Sir David King, Chief
Scientific Advisor to UK Gov 2005
23
(No Transcript)
24
www.popconnect.org www.ecotimecapsule.com www.opt
imumpopulation.org
25
The IPAT equation
  • Environmental IMPACT has only 3 causes which
    multiply with each other
  • I P x A x T
  • Technology, its green-ness per person
  • Affluence/effluence and consumption, again
    per person
  • Population, the number of persons.

26
So, we want to REDUCE I Impact?
  • T technology will help but almost all
    scientists in agreement, cant do it all
  • A affluence/consumption OUGHT, globally, to go
    up as the only way out of poverty is by
    ?affluence of the very poor (happening in China
    now..)
  • Leave alone the problem of persuading the
    already affluent to reduce their per-person
    consumption! Lets be honest, most of actions by
    Govts and individuals so far are token
    gestures.
  • P Population is the only factor left!
  • Yet it continues as
  • the elephant in the room that no-one talks
    about

27
Two factors
  • Population People feel they cant talk about
    it but there is a large unmet need for smaller
    family size i.e. it is amenable to change.
  • Consumption People can talk about it but
    there is no unmet need for reducing consumption.
    More difficult to change. Wont, sufficiently. ..
  • High time population stops being seen as a
    given to try to adapt to.

28
Mahatma Gandhi said
  • The world has enough for everyones need..1
  • But not enough for everyones greed!.. 2
  • No 2 remains COMPLETELY true, BUT
  • No 1 may no longer be true, because we
    probably now have too many everyones if we want
    all on earth to live (lets say) a modest
    British lifestyle
  • Humans currently utilise c 130 of worlds total
    biological capacity and by 2050 IUCN/WWF
    estimates we will need 200!
  • Another planet? Or half as many of us?

29
Isnt this THE most Inconvenient Truth?
Planet finiteunending growth not an option.
30
(No Transcript)
31
(No Transcript)
32
Two sides of the same coin
per
no. of
person
persons
Greenest energy is the energy you dont use!
33
AN ABSENT HUMAN HASNOFOOTPRINT
34
Population/Birth Planning
  • has major relevance to all the following
  • Over-use of fossil fuels and climate change
  • More to die in each climatic or Natural
    disaster
  • Human rights/violence/genocide/terrorism
  • Mass migrations
  • Disease including HIV
  • Maternal mortality
  • Infant mortality
  • Poverty, per head, even with development
  • Shortage of water and of food
  • Shortage of other basic resources ( energy)
  • Conserving biodiversity/habitats/the Natural
    World

35
  • Family planning could bring more benefits to
    more people at less cost than any other single
    technology now available to the human race
  • James Grant
  • UNICEF Annual Report 1992

36
(No Transcript)
37
Arent these as much icons of the environment as
her bicycle!
38
(No Transcript)
39
A DAMAGING MYTH
  • that any quantitative concern about human
    numbers on a finite planet is intrinsically
  • coercive - or
  • exclusive - of other vital concerns
  • especially poverty and Northern
    over-consumption
  • anti-human

40
Good guideline 2 offspring replace the parents
41
(No Transcript)
42
  • Isnt it true that, in rural poverty (reinforced
    by culture)
  • Every mouth has two hands ? (Chairman Mao) to
    work for the family and supply a measure of
    social security
  • High infant mortality needs to be compensated for
    ?
  • Partly but for starters no woman wants the
    biological maximum number of children!
  • Plus so MANY conceptions are unplanned

43
There is a widespread unmet need for family
planning
46
Actual TFRs between 3 and 6
44
Successful family planning
  • Make as wide a range of fertility regulation
    options available as possible
  • Use as wide a range of distribution channels
    (including private as well as governmental) as
    resources permit.
  • REMOVE BARRIERS TO WOMEN

45
TFR Decline among Nations with Well Organized FP
Programmes
67
Contraceptives available accessible barriers
removed, misinformation corrected
46
(No Transcript)
47
(No Transcript)
48
Wild species now comprise only 3 of vertebrate
flesh on planet earth!
49
(No Transcript)
50
(No Transcript)
51
(No Transcript)
Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
About PowerShow.com