Hints for activity 10. and Homework 5. LSP 121 hints! Q # - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Hints for activity 10. and Homework 5. LSP 121 hints! Q #

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Title: Hints for activity 10. and Homework 5. LSP 121 hints! Q #


1
Hints for Activity 10and Individual 5
  • LSP 121 hints!

2
Q 2 at least once
  • Formula
  • 1 (Not A in one)n
  • A exposed to virus, the event
  • P(A) 1.5 .015
  • P(not A) 1 P(A) 1 - .015
  • n 10 for part a) and 20 for part b)

3
Q 3
  • Expected value
  • start with what you pay as (-1) cost in
  • then add the probability or probabilities of
    gaining back each amount of

4
Q 4
  • Expected value
  • In this example, start with the cost as 100 x
    1, express as negative -1
  • To this add the other winnings x probabilities
  • -1 x 1 20 x .012 etc.
  • Expected value

5
Q 5
  • Possible outcomes
  • Set this up with 10 boxes

Area Codes Exchanges
Extensions
In each box, write the number of possible s
that can be found there. Multiply these numbers
to find possible outcomes for particular event
(set of phone numbers or area codes).
6
individual assignment 5
  • 1 possible outcomes (ski shop packages) is
    simply the product of the different sets
  • 2 ( of ways to get a 5)/(total outcomes)
  • 5 Example of calculating odds, usually
    expressed as a ratio, such as 21 or 12, read 2
    to 1 or 1 to 2. Note if something has a
    probability of 50 (for 2 outcomes), then this
    event has 11 odds

7
indiv 5, more
  • 6 this is an example of multiplication rule 1
    the probability of multiple independent
    occurences is the product of the individual
    probabilities
  • 7 (total ways of getting 3, 4 or 5) / (total
    possible outcomes for 2 dice) be careful when
    calculating ODDs for this same situation.

8
indiv 5, more
  • 8
  • a) empirical probability do the math
  • b) apply the math and predict for next year
  • c) use at least once formula 1 (not A)n
  • 9 Use addition of probabilities to calculate
    expect value. Note since this is for the
    company, you start with 1000 x 100 (-20,000
    ) (-50,000 ) , since each claim is a
    loss to the company.

9
indiv 5 last part
  • 10 This problem is slightly different in that
    two events are non-mutually exclusive the
    occurrence of one event does not exclude nor is
    it excluded by another event. Simply work out
    the formula given
  • P(A or B) P(A)P(B) P(A and B),
  • P(king) P(heart) P(king and heart)
  • ( of kings/52) ( of hearts/52) ( of
    king of hearts/52)
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