Title: Public-Private Partnerships and Prices: Evidence from Water Distribution in France
1Public-Private Partnerships and Prices Evidence
from Water Distribution in France
- Stéphane Saussier
- ADIS GRJM University of Paris XI Sceaux
- ATOM University of Paris I Sorbonne
2Introduction
- A precise question Should the State (or local
public authorities) contract with a private
operator in order to provide a public service? - A large range of transactions can possibly be
organized through PPP. - Possible advantages
- 1/lower capital constraints
- 2/incentive-based contracts
- 3/encouragement of innovation
- 4/lower production costs (scale and scope
economies).
3Introduction
- The efficiency of PPP remains an unresolved
question - At the theoretical level
- TCT Williamson 1976, Williamson 1999
- ICT Hart-Shleifer-Vishny 1997 Hart 2003
Bennett Iossa 2002. - AT Bentz Grout 2002.
- At the empirical level
- Guash al 2002, Estache 2003, Littlechild 2002,
Zupan 1989,
4Introduction
- The case of water supply in France
- Interest
- Local public authorities - plenty of data
- One institutional framework
- Empirical studies not conclusive DGS 1995,
DGCCRF 1997, IFEN 2000, Cour des comptes 1997,
2004. - An empirical paper
- A transaction cost economics approach
5I. A TCE approach
- A TCE approach would stress a simple idea The
common error to be avoided is to pronounce that
governance structures are efficient or
inefficient without reference to the transaction
there are transactions for which the firm is
superior to the market, its bureaucratic
disabilities notwithstanding O.E. Williamson
2002, page 20. - Possible drawbacks of PPP contractual costs
- Transaction costs may, in certain situations,
overcome advantages in terms of production costs
6 I. A TCE APPROACH
What are the potential transaction costs?
Choice of the Private Operator
Contract renewal
t
Service specification
Contract execution
Competition for the field
Competition for the field
7Franchising problems to overcome ex ante
I. A TCE APPROACH
- Specification of the franchised service and
effective competitive bidding - Imprecise specification
- adverse selection problem (the winners curse)
- Small number of bidders
- Price and quality do matter ? Artificial or
obscure award criterion.
8Franchising problems to overcome ex post
I. A TCE APPROACH
- Risks of opportunism
- Delays in construction and provision
- Efforts to renegotiate the contract
- Lower level of quality than promised
- Absence of responsiveness to consumers needs
- Price increase
- Risks of maladaptation
- Price-cost divergences
- Indeterminacies
- Those problems are particularly important when
the transaction is uncertain and needs high level
of asset specificity
9Potential transaction costs solutions exist!
I. A TCE APPROACH
- Contractual solutions
- Choice of the operator
- Menu auctions
- Pre-qualification criteria
- Bids formulated in terms of a constant revenue
stream (E-F-G 02) - Allocation of risk
- Minimum level of quality required
- Execution stage
- Dissuasive but realistic penalty clauses
- Enforceable sanctions Monitoring and accounting
procedures Capacity of expertise - Open Book Policy Yardstick competition
Information transparency
10Potential transaction costs solutions exist!
I. A TCE APPROACH
- Institutional solutions
- Credibility of the contracting parties
- Reputation
- Institutional dotations (corruption, property
rights ) - Laws that constrain contractual choices and
potential opportunistic behavior
11General conclusions from a TCE perspective
I. A TCE APPROACH
- No institutional choice is better than another a
priori. - The choice between PPP and direct public
management depends on the characteristics of the
transactions (asset specificity / uncertainty /
complexity) - Recent developments show that solutions may exist
that qualify PPP in many situations (Littlechild
2002 Engel, Fisher, Galetovic 02, )
12II. Putting TCE to workData
- Data sets coming from the French Environment
Institute and the French Ministry of Agriculture - A representative sample of all the French local
authorities - 5,000 local authorities in 1998
- Restricted to 4,443 observations in our
statistics - Restricted to 3,613 observations in our
econometric tests - Account for more than 50 of the consumers
- The question Price, cost and organizational
choices
13The case of water supply in France
TCE TO WORK
- French local authorities decide / not the State
- A great variety of organizational choices
-
14Putting TCE to workThe case of water supply in
France
TCE TO WORK
- Characteristics of transactions and potential
transaction costs - Asset specificity
- Physical investments are specific (site
specificity) - Complexity
- Mainly due to
- ? the difficulty of the treatments for producing
drinkable water (e.g. the quality of the water
before treatment) - ? The difficulty of transporting water to the
consumer (the density of population)
15Institutional environment and potential
transaction costs
TCE TO WORK
- Drawbacks of PPP resulting from contract
incompleteness can be reduced by the
institutional framework - The intuitu personae principle
- May avoid problems linked to the choice of the
operator (Bajari-McMillan-Tadelis 2003) - Risk of corruption/collusion
- PPP are administrative contracts
- An asymmetric position between contracting
parties - Ex post renegotiations take place within a rigid
framework
16In what situations could drawbacks overcome
advantages of a PPP?
TCE TO WORK
17The case of water supply in France
TCE TO WORK
18The case of water supply in France
TCE TO WORK
- Prices (for one cubic meter in francs) and
geographical areas -
19Prices and organizational choices a first look
TCE TO WORK
Prices for local authorities that do not contract
out the service are lower The price difference
between lease and direct public management is 32
In euros for 120 m3, without tax
- Two possible interpretations
- Collusion prices - PPP are inefficient because of
ex ante transaction costs - PPP are specialized on complex transactions - PPP
are efficient
20Prices and organizational choices an econometric
test
TCE TO WORK
Other control variables used in the econometric
study the area (France is divided in 100
departments) the technology used in measuring
and controlling links on the network the
organizational choice made concerning the
cleaning of used water
21Prices and organizational choices an econometric
test
TCE TO WORK
- Naïve OLS equation, controlling for other
parameters than organizational choices that may
have an impact on prices
?R2 0,50 ? Lease contracts account for 27 in
the price (average bill of 140 ) ?All types of
PPP lead to an increase of price paid by the
consumer
22Prices and organizational choices an
econometrical test
TCE TO WORK
- Cost structure might be different from one
organizational choice to another - We estimate 2 equations
- Possible selection bias
- Organizational choices are not randomly chosen ?
TCE propositions ? Heckman Method
23In what situations could drawbacks overcome
advantages of a PPP?
TCE TO WORK
- Robust probit estimate of lease vs. direct public
management - Complex transactions (complex treatments, low
density of population) are more probably
organized through lease contracts - Non-linear effect of the population size
- More than 75 of observed choices accurately
predicted
24Prices and organizational choices an
econometrical test
TCE TO WORK
Correcting for selection bias, direct public
management is still the most efficient
organizational choice
? However the price difference between lease and
direct public management decreases again (About
10 )
25The impact of mis-specified modes of organization
TCE TO WORK
- Do transaction cost propositions affect
performances? - Do organizational choices matter?
- Theoretical Misfit variable defined as equal to
1 as soon as local authorities do not respect TCE
propositions (focus on complex transactions). - 13 of our observations do not fit TCE
propositions
26The impact of mis-specified modes of organization
TCE TO WORK
- Local authorities that did not choose modes of
organization that correspond to a TCE
prescription have higher prices. - This result is true whatever the direction of
the error. - This result confirms previous recent works that
attempted to connect organizational choices and
performances through the lens of TCE in Strategic
Management fields (Masten et al. 91, Leiblein et
al. 02, Mayer et Silverman 02, Sampson 04,
Nickerson et al. 97, Mayer 00, Yvrande 04,
Bigelow 03, Nickerson et Silverman 04)
27Conclusions and perspectives
- Organizational choices matter!
- Transaction costs matter!
- More general conclusions concerning the relative
efficiency of public-private partnerships - Limits concerning our results to be resolved
- What about contractual choices?
- What about price and efficiency?
- Price is questionable
- Other measures of efficiency (quality,)