Seven Generations of War, Intelligence,

1
Seven Generations of War, Intelligence,
Information Operations Placing Iraq on the
Continuum of the Possible
Book covers deleted.
2
Seven Generations of War

• Evolutionary Eras
• 1st Generation
• 2nd Generation
• 3rd Generation
• 4th Generation
• 5th Generation
• 6th Generation
• 7th Generation

• Linch Pin
• Low Tech Mass
• New Tech
• New Doctrine
• Non-State
• RMA (C4I)
• RIA (IO/Intel)
• RGA

Means of Winning Attrition Attrition Maneuver As
ymmetry Precision Weapons Precision
Intel(!!) Everything, Always
3
Definitions

• Intelligence
• JCS product
• JCS knowledge
• CIA knowledge and foreknowledge as prelude to
  decision and action (covert action silent)
• OSS global coverage, all sources, all languages,
  24/7, NRT analysis at all times

• Information Operations
• 1. Electronic Warfare (EW)
• 2. Operations Security (OPSEC)
• 3. Psychological Operations (PSYOPS)
• 4. Military Deception
• 5. Computer Network Ops (CNO).
• 6. Supporting InfoAssurance
• Counter Intelligence
• Physical Security
• Physical Attack
• 7. Intelligence
• 8. Public Affairs/Civil Affairs
• 9. Public Diplomacy Assistance

4
Seven Generations of Intelligence/IO

• Evolutionary Eras
• 1st Generation
• 2nd Generation
• 3rd Generation
• 4th Generation
• 5th Generation
• 6th Generation
• 7th Generation

What Do We Need to Know Easy Where is the
army? Easy Where are the trenches? Moderate How
many with what? Hard Watch every non-state
actor. Hard Watch everything on the fly. Hard
Make sense of billions of bits. Very Hard 24/7,
29 languages and get your own house in order.
5
US/Allied Intelligence in Iraq

• Successes
• Good last minute exiles sent in with money and
  forged documents to recruit and observe

• Failures
• No deep clandestine assets
• No new nor firm knowledge on WMD
• Intel vacuum allowed WH adventurism
• Did not locate Saddaam
• Could not keep up with battle forces
• Unable to do guerilla/urban intelligence
• No peace/reconstruction intelligence
• (Note the US corruption is amazing)

6
US/Allied InfoOps in Iraq

• Successes
• Saved the Oil Fields
• Inspired desertions no fires
• Kept most civilians out of fight

• Failures
• Sunglasses armor--aid as PSYOP
• Girls forced to urinate publicly (rdblks)
• Saddam as Elvis (cowboy IO)
• Poor impact on Arabs (bye to Al J.)
• Poor impact on Europe (bye to Old E.)
• Ignored non-Arab Muslims world-wide (Central
  Asia, South Asia, India, Pakistan, Muslim Africa)

7
Net Assessment of Iraq Intel/IO

• F Reconstruction intel
• F Post-war Guerilla intel
• F Global IO Images
• F Covert Ops Options
• D WMD actual status
• C Battle damage
• B Kick-off OOB
• D Congressional debate

Bottom line Intel/IO had no coherent strategy,
conflicting or absent capabilities and messages,
earns a 3 out of a possible 7 on the continuum.
Note Policy decisions can be said to have
handicapped intelligence.
8
What Next A Conflict of Visions
9
Center of Gravity is US Public Mind
Includes environmental sustainability and moral
capitalism. Includes 450-ship Navy with
littoral/humanitarian assistance fleet.
10
War Peace Restated
COLD WAR PARADIGM
ORIGINAL PARADIGM
Secret Elite Decisions
Restores Representative Government
Command Loyal Military
Rationalizes National Security
Defending Business Interests
Demands Moral Capitalism
Drafting Obedient People
Informed Healthy Public
11
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12
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