East of Scotland European Partnership Commuting and migration

1
East of Scotland European Partnership Commuting
and migration

• Dundee Contemporary Arts
• 2nd February 2005

2
Chairmans welcome and introduction

• Mervyn Rolfe CBE
• Chief Executive Dundee Tayside Chamber of
  Commerce
• Chairman ESEP

3
Programme

• 10.30 Commuting and migration patterns in the
  East of Scotland
• John Lord, Director, yellow book ltd.
• 11.15 Commentary
• Greg Lloyd, Director of The Geddes
  Institute, University of Dundee
• 11.30 Group discussions (tea/coffee)
• 12.15 Feedback and plenary discussion
• 13.00 Lunch
• 14.00 Close

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Commuting and migration

• economic geography of the Programme area
• review of Census 2001 data
• migration to/from the East of Scotland
• growth in commuting to and from major cities
• commuting patterns described and analysed
• area profiles posted on the website
• plus a full version of this presentation
• and a short report

5
Economic geography

• jobs density
• employment change
• knowledge economy
• residents qualifications
• claimant count

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Job density, 2002
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Employment change 1998-2002
8
Tradable services and KBIs of total employment
2002
9
Tradable services knowledge based industries
employment change 1998-2002
10
Residents qualifications
11
Claimant count rate ()
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Migration

• net migration 2000-2001
• working age migration 2000-2001
• in-migration from rest of UK
• residents born outside Scotland

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Net migration 2000-2001(to/from UK)
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Net migration working-age 2000-2001 (to/from UK)
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of in-migration from rest of UK
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of residents born outside Scotland
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Commuting

• commuting trends 1991-2001
• commuting flows
• cities and commuting
• who commutes?
• occupation
• Industry
• status
• personal characteristics

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Increase in commuting 1991-2001
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Commuting flows 2001

• the programme area
• net flows by local authority
• in-commuting and out-commuting
• offshore employment

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East of Scotland 2001
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Net commuting flows
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of residents who work locally
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of workforce who live locally
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of workforce who are in-commuters
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of residents who out-commute to work
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Residents working offshore
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City travel to work areas

• Aberdeen
• Dundee
• Edinburgh
• Stirling

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of residents working in Aberdeen
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of residents working in Dundee
30
of residents working in Edinburgh
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of residents working in Stirling
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Who are the commuters?

• occupation
• industry
• status
• circumstances

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Residents out-commuting by occupation
Higher professional
Routine occupations
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Working age residents employment share by
industry and place of work
Agriculture
Manufacturing/mining
35
Working age residents employment share by
industry and place of work (2)
Wholesale, retail
Financial intermediation
36
Workforce dependency on in-commuters
Public administration and defence
Real estate and business activities
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Workforce dependency on in-commuters (2)
Financial services
Hotels and restaurants
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Commuters are more likely to be

• in high wage, high skill occupations
• working in knowledge based sectors
• residents of areas close to big cities
• in a full time job
• employees
• male
• car owners

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Defining roles/assessing performance
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Performance criteria

• migration trends
• working age population
• commuter flows
• jobs density
• unemployment rate
• resident/workplace earnings

41
Earnings ratios
Residents Scottish average
Workplace residents
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East of Scotland European Partnership Commuting
and migration

• Dundee Contemporary Arts
• 2nd February 2005

43
Commuting, Migration and City Regions A
Commentary
East of Scotland European Partnership

• Greg Lloyd

The Geddes Institute
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Globalisation and global city regions

• globalisation is the principal driver of change
• cities and city regions are the emerging centres
  of economic competitiveness and innovation
• this creates agendas around urban development and
  governance.
• defined contexts markets, growth, limited
  regulation

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Connectivity?
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European spatiality

• spatial planning the new agenda for planning
  and management of regional development
• context of the global economy, competitiveness
  and scale
• normative assertions around city regions
  mono-centric and poly-centric forms
• European Spatial Development Perspective
• enhancing competitiveness
• regional balance
• urban-rural relations

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Refreshing those bitscity regions?

• Partnership Agreement
• Framework for Economic Development
• Smart Successful Scotland
• National Planning Framework
• city regions

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But where?

• Mono-centric approaches
• Derek Halden Consultancy, 2002
• Experían, 2004
• David Begg and Ian Docherty,2002
• Polycentric urban region
• Nick Bailey and Ivan Turok, 2001
• Edward Glaeser, 2004
• Research evidence

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......and how?

• context economic performance and scale
• urban morphology and place competition
• institutions and resources
• regulation and history
• identities and cultures

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Clash of Ideas?

• old geography to new space
• functional, formal . or fuzzy edges?
• boundaries or borderless?
• single government to multiple governance
• fixed identities or fluid imagery?

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East of Scotland European Partnership Commuting
and migration

• Dundee Contemporary Arts
• 2nd February 2005