Title: Control of Epidemics and national priority communicable diseases programmes.
1Control of Epidemics and national priority
communicable diseases programmes.
2Components of communicable diseases
- Agent-living and infectious. could be viruses,
bacteria,protozoa,fungi and helminthes. - Host immunity ability to resist infection
- Route of transmission-mechanism by which
infection is transmitted from one person to
another or from reservoir to new host.
3Epidemiologic Triad Concepts
- Infectivity ability to invade a host
- ( infected / susceptible) X 100
- Pathogenicity ability to cause disease
- ( with clinical disease / of infected) X
100 - Virulence ability to cause death
- ( of deaths / with disease (cases)) X 100
- All are dependent upon the condition of the host
- Immunity (active, passive)
- Nutrition
- Sleep
- Hygiene
4Properties of infectious agent
- Ability to multiply
- Emerge from new host
- Reach a new host
- Infect the new host
- resvoir of infection-ecological niche on which
the agent depend for survival - -human as in measles,HIV/AIDs,typhoid,CSM,STI
- Animal tanesis,plague,rabies,samelosis
- Non living clostridial organisms
5Incubation Period
- The interval between the time of contact and/or
entry of the agent and onset of illness (latency
period) - The time required for the multiplication of
microorganisms within the host up to a threshold
where the parasitic population is large enough to
produce symptoms
6- Each infectious disease has a characteristic
incubation period, dependent upon the rate of
growth of the organism in the host and - Dosage of the infectious agent
- Portal of entry
- Immune response of the host
- Because of the interplay of these factors,
incubation period will vary among individuals - For groups of cases, the distribution will be a
curve with cases with longer incubation periods
creating a right skew
7Mode of Transmission
- Person-to-person (respiratory, orogenital, skin)
- Examples HIV, measles
- Vector (animals, insects)
- Examples rabies, yellow fever
- Common vehicle (food, water)
- Examples salmonellosis
- Mechanical vectors (personal effects) such as
doorknobs, or toothbrushes are called FOMITES
8Classification by Mode of Transmission
- Dynamics of Spread through Human Populations
- Spread by a common vehicle
- Ingestion Salmonellosis
- Inhalation Legionellosis
- Inoculation Hepatitis
- Propagation by serial transfer from host to host
- Respiratory Measles
- Anal-oral Shigellosis
- Genital Syphilis
9- Principle Reservoir of Infection
- Man Infectious hepatitis
- Other vertebrates (zoonoses) Tularemia
- Agent free-living Histoplasmosis
- Portal of Entry/Exit in Human Host
- Upper respiratory tract Diphtheria
- Lower respiratory tract Tuberculosis
- Gastrointestinal tract Typhoid fever
- Genitourinary tract Gonorrhea
- Conjunctiva Trachoma
- Percutaneous Leptospirosis
- Percutaneous (bite of arthropod) Yellow fever
10- Cycles of Infectious Agent in Nature
- Man-man Influenza
- Man-arthropod-man Malaria
- Vertebrate-vertebrate-man Psittacosis
- Vertebrate-arthropod-vertebrate-man Viral
encephalitis - Complex Cycles
- Helminth infections River blindness
11Host factors
- Resistance to infection-specific or non specific
- Non specific-protective covering of skin., mucous
membrane, secretions, and reflex responses - Specific- acquired (active or passive), genetic
(races , ethnic groups) - Factors influencing host immunity-age,nutrition,se
x,trauma,pregnancy and herd immunity
12Herd Immunity
- The decreased probability that a group will
develop an epidemic because the proportion of
immune individuals reduces the chance of contact
between infected and susceptible persons - The entire population does not have to be
immunized to prevent the occurrence of an
epidemic - Example smallpox, measles
13- Carriers-person who harbors infection without
showing signs of disease - - healthy
- -incubatory/precocious
- - convalescent
- -chronic
- Importance-large number of carriers as compared
with the sick - Making contacts with uninfected over a wide area
- Source of infection over a long period.
14Spectrum of Disease
- Exposure
- Subclinical manifestations
- Pathological changes
- Symptoms
- Clinical illness
- Time of diagnosis
- Death
- Whether a person passes through all these stages
will depend upon infection and prevention,
detection and therapeutic measures
15Iceberg Concept of Infection
CELL RESPONSE
HOST RESPONSE
Lysis of cell
Fatal
Discernable effect
Clinical and severe disease
Clinical Disease
Cell transformation or Cell dysfunction
Moderate severity Mild Illness
Incomplete viral maturation
Infection without clinical illness
Below visual change
Subclinical Disease
Exposure without cell entry
Exposure without infection
16Spectrum of Disease (cont.)
- Example
- 90 of measles cases exhibit clinical symptoms
- 66 of mumps cases exhibit clinical symptoms
- lt10 of poliomyelitis cases exhibit clinical
symptoms
Inapparent infections play a role in
transmission. These are distinguished from
latent infections where the agent is not shed
17Subclinical/Clinical Ratio for Viral Infections
Virus
Age at infection
Clinical feature
Clinical cases
Estimated ratio
10001
Child
Paralysis
0.1 to 1.0
Polio
1 to 5 years
Mononucleosis
1
gt 1001
Epstein-Barr
1 to 10
101 to 1001
6 to 15 years
21 to 31
16 to 25 years
50 to 75
5
201
lt 5 years
Icterus
Hepatitis A
10
111
5 to 9 years
10 to 15 years
14
71
80 to 95
1.51
Adult
50
21
5 to 20 years
Rash
Rubella
60
1.51
Young adult
Fever, cough
Influenza
gt99
199
5 to 20 years
Rash, fever
Measles
lt110,000
CNS symptoms
gtgtgtgt99
Any age
Rabies
18Methods of control
- Eliminate the reservoir
- human reservoir- isolation, quarantine,
- zoonosis- quarantine
- Non living- avoid exposure.
- Interruption of transmission-environmental
sanitation, personal hygiene, vector control - Protection of the host passive and active
immunization
19Control of communicable diseases
- Recognizing the infection and confirmation of
diagnosis-use of standard case definition and
laboratory services - Notifying the disease to appropriate
authority-national and international
notification. DSN 001 DSN 002 forms - Identifying source of infection use of
incubation period interval between infection and
onset of symptoms - Assessing the extent of outbreaks- other persons
infected and contacts
20Investigating an Epidemic
- Determine whether there is an outbreak an
excess number of cases from what would be
expected - There must be clarity in case definition and
diagnostic verification for each case
21Introduction
- An epidemic is the occurrence of a number of
cases of a disease that is usually large or
unexpected for the given place and time . - An epidemic often evolves rapidly ,so a quick
response is required to limit the outbreak and
prevent future occurrence of outbreaks
22Detection of epidemics
- Use of standard case definitions
- Routine epidemiological surveillance
- Active epidemiological surveillance
- International notification
- Case reporting forms- summaries in tables and
graphs
23- Reliable reporting of priority diseases and
conditions to the next level and appropiate
health authorities - DSN001- Emergency notification any case or
death to any of the following nine diseases
AIDs, Anthrax ,Cerebrospinal meningitis
,Cholera, Plague, Human rabies, Typhoid and
paratyphoid, Yellow fever and Lassa fever - Immediate reporting by telex, telephone and
fill DSN001 form
24Routine epidemiological surevillance
- DSN001- Emergency notification any case or
death to any of the following nine diseases
AIDs, Anthrax ,Cerebrospinal meningitis
,Cholera,Plague,Human rabies,Typhoid and
paratyphoid,Yellow fever and lassa fever - Immediate reporting by telex,telephone and fill
DSN001 form
25- Experiences with some disease eradication and
elimination programs show that disease control
and prevention objectives are successful met when
resources are dedicated to improving the ability
of health workers to detect targeted diseases ,
obtain lab confirmation of diseases and use
thresholds to initiate action at LGA level - Building on these successes , WHO AFRO proposes
IDSR strategy for improving communicable disease
surveillance and response linking community,
health facility ,LGA and national level.
26Goal and objectives of IDSR
- The goal is to improve the ability of LGA to
detect and respond to disease and conditions that
cause high death rates , illness and disability - Objectives are to strengthen the capacity of
country to conduct effective surveillance - Integrate multiple surveillance systems-forms ,
personnel and resources used more efficiently and
effectively - Improve the use of information for decision
making - Improve flow of surveillance information between
and within levels of health system
27Surveillance functions
- Identify cases- case definitions
- Report suspected cases to next level
- Analyse and interpret data-
- Investigate and confirm suspected cases and
outbreaks - Respond- mobilise resources
- Provide feedback
- Evaluate and improve system-timeliness, quality
of information, preparedness, case mgt and
overall performance
28Diseases included
- Top causes of high morbidity and mortality
- Have epidemic potentials
- Surveillance required internationally
- Have available effective control and prevention
interventions - Easily identified using case definitions
- Have intervention programs supported by WHO.
2921 selected diseases
- Epidemic prone-cholera, measles, CSM, viral
hemorrhagic fevers and yellow fever - Diseases targeted for eradication and
elimination-poliomyelitis, dracunculiaisis ,
leprosy, neonatal tetanus, filariaisis - Diseases of public health importance- pneumonia
and diarrhea in under 5, HIV/AIDs, malaria,
onchocerciaisis, STIs, tuberculosis, dysentry
,pertussis , hepatitis B, plague.
30- DSN 002-Regular monthly notification
- Diseases of immediate threat to public
health and diseases addressed by control
programmes - Cases and deaths reported monthly
- Forty-two diseases involved including the
nine diseases notified immediately
31- IDSR 001- Immediate/Case based reporting form
- IDSR 002-Weekly reporting of new cases of
Epidemic prone diseases - IDSR 003-Routine monthly notification form
- Tuberculosis /leprosy quarterly reporting forms
32Active epidemiological surveillance
- In-depth search for cases of a few selected
diseases likely to cause epidemics e.g sentinel
surveillance for EPI diseases
33International notification
- Few diseases are subjected to notification on
basis of international agreement - These international notifiable diseases are
quarantinable governed by International Sanitary
Regulations - Plague,cholera and yellow fever
34Investigation of Epidemics
- Conduct investigation of epidemics when
- Report of a suspected outbreak of immediately
notifiable disease - Unusual increase in number of deaths during
routine analysis of data - Alert or Action threshold have been reached for
specific diseases - Report of rumors of death from cases
- Cluster of deaths for which the cause is not
explained
35Steps in investigation of epidemic
- Confirm the existence of epidemics
- Verify the diagnosis by clinical symptoms , signs
and laboratory confirmation - Describe the epidemics in persons, place and time
- Notify the appropriate authorities
- Search for additional cases or contacts
- Institute control measures
- Write a report.
36Verify the outbreak
- Source of information
- Severity of illness
- Number of cases and deaths reported
- Transmission mode and risk for wider transmission
- Political and geographical consideration
- Available resources
37Confirm diagnosis
- Review clinical history -take history and
examine patients to confirm signs and symptoms
as in case definition - Review the lab results if available and see if it
is consistent with clinical findings - Treat the patient with available recommended
drugs and therapies. - Search for additional cases in registers of
neighboring facility and community
38Description of epidemic by time
- Date of onset exposure to causal agent
- Exposure over a brief period-steep up slope
- Exposure over a long period of time-plateau
- Person to person transmission-tall peaks
separated by periods of incubation - Timeliness of detection,investigation and
response to epidemics
39Description of epidemic by place
- Clustering of cases occurring in a particular
area - Travel patterns that relate to the method of
transmission for this disease - Common sources of infection for these cases-water
sources,relevant geographical characteristics
40Description of epidemic by person
- Age or date of birth
- Sex
- Urban or rural residence
- Immunization status
- Inpatient and outpatient status
- Risk factors
- Outcome -survive,died,unknown
- Other variables relevant to the disease
41Investigating an Epidemic (cont.)
- Plot an epidemic curve (cases against time)
- Calculate attack rates
- If there is no obvious commonality for the
outbreak, calculate attack rates based on
demographic variables (hepatitis in a community) - If there is an obvious commonality for the
outbreak, calculate attack rates based on
exposure status (a church supper)
42Investigating an Epidemic (cont.)
- Determine the source of the epidemic
- If there is no obvious commonality for the
outbreak, plot the geographic distribution of
cases by residence/work/school/location to reduce
common exposures - If there is an obvious commonality for the
outbreak, identify the most likely cause and
investigate the source to prevent future outbreaks
43- Index Case
- Person that comes to the attention of public
health authorities - Primary Case
- Person who acquires the disease from an exposure
- Attack rate
- Secondary Case
- Person who acquires the disease from an exposure
to the primary case - Secondary attack rate
44Calculation of Attack Rate for Food X
Did not eat the food (not exposed)
Ate the food (exposed)
Attack Rate
Attack Rate
Total
Well
Total
Well
Ill
Ill
64
11
4
7
76
13
3
10
Attack Rate Ill / (Ill Well) x 100 during
a time period
Attack rate (10/13) x 100 76
( 7/11) x 100 64 RR 75/64 1.2
45Secondary Attack Rate
Secondary attack rate ()
Total number of cases initial case(s)
x 100
Number of susceptible persons in the group
initial case(s)
- Used to estimate to the spread of disease in a
family, household, dorm or other group
environment. - Measures the infectivity of the agent and the
effects of prophylactic agents (e.g. vaccine)
46Mumps experience of 390 families exposed to a
primary case within the family
Cases
Population
No. susceptible before primary cases occurred
Secondary
Primary
Total
Age in years
50
100
250
300
2-4
87
204
450
5-9
420
15
25
84
152
10-19
Secondary attack rate 2-4 years old
(150-100)/(250-100) x 100 33
47Case Fatality Rate
Number of deaths due to disease X
Case fatality rate ()
x 100
Number of cases of disease X
- Reflects the fatal outcome (deadliness) of a
disease, which is affected by efficacy of
treatment
48- Assume a population of 1000 people. In one year,
- 20 are sick with cholera and 6 die from the
disease. - The cause-specific mortality rate in that year
from cholera - The case-fatality rate from cholera
-
6
0.006
0.6
1000
6
0.3
30
20
49Identification of source of outbreak
- Line list for summarizing time ,place and person
analysis - Epidemic curve-histogram represent the course of
the disease - Plot the cases on a spot map-clustering of cases
(common or point source) - Tables of relevant characteristics of the
cases-age group,sex ,immunization,etc
50Response to outbreaks
- Establish epidemic management committee and
epidemic rapid response team at all levels of
government - Prepare an epidemic response plan-mobilization of
human resources,emergency stocks of required
drug,medical supplies,laboratory and logistic
support ,support from state ,national and donor
agencies - Training in epidemic response skills
51Strengthening preventive measures
- Strengthen case management
- Update health workers skill
- Conduct emergency immunization campaigns
- Enhance surveillance during the response
activity - Inform and educate the public
- Improve access to clean water
52- Improve safe disposal of human waste
- Improve food handling practices
- Reduce exposure to mosquitoes
- Control vectors
- Disseminate the appropriate recommendation for
the outbreak
53Report on outbreak
- Details on the response activities-dates,places
and individuals involved - Epidemic curve,spot map,table of person,place
analysis and line list - Recommend changes to improve epidemic response in
future - Disseminate a report on the outbreak
54What Are EmergingInfectious Diseases?
- These are human illnesses caused by
microorganisms or their poisonous byproducts and
having the potential for occurring in epidemic
numbers.
55Emerging Infectious Diseases include conditions
that
- emerge as a new infectious process
- re-emerge as drug resistant forms
56Origin of EmergingInfectious Diseases
- Changes in environment (technology and industry)
- Economic development
- Population growth or migration
- Human behavior
- International travel and commerce
- Microbial adaptation
- Breakdown in public health measures
57Microbial Adaptation
- Mechanisms of genetic diversity
- Respond to changes in physical and social
environment. - Epidemiologic triangle
- Host
- Environment
- Agent
58Major Factors Contributing to the Emergence of
Infectious Diseases
- Human demographics and behavior
- Technology and industry
- Economic development and land use
- International travel and commerce
- Microbial adaptation and change
- Breakdown of public health measures
59New EmergingInfectious Diseases
- Human Immunodeficiency Virus (AIDS)
- Lyme disease
- Ebola fever
- Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome
- West Nile encephalitis
- Legionnaires disease
60Drug Resistant Diseases
- Malaria
- Multiple drug resistant tuberculosis
- Bacterial pneumonias
61Target Areas for Preventing Emerging Infectious
Diseases
- Drug resistance
- Food borne and water borne diseases
- Vectorborne and zoonotic diseases
- Diseases transmitted through exposure to blood
and body fluids - Chronic diseases caused by infectious agents
- Vaccine development and use
62Drug Resistance
- The emergence of drug resistance in bacteria,
parasites, viruses, and fungi is reversing
medical advances of the previous 50 years.
63Drug Resistant DiseasesMore Examples
- S. aureus in Japan and UK, 1997
- HIV endemic in NY
- Problems in South Carolina
- Streptococccus pneumoniae
- Vancomycin resistant Enterrococcus
64Vectorborne and Zoonotic Diseases
- Influenza
- Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease
- Mad Cow Disease
- Lyme Disease
- Rabies
65Vectorborne and Zoonotic Diseases
- West Nile Viral Encephalitis
- Malaria
- Ebola fever
- Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
66Diseases Transmitted Through Exposure to Blood
and Body Fluids
- Human Immunodeficiency Virus
- Hepatitis
- A, B, C, D, E
- NANE
- SEN-V
- Bacterial pathogens
67Other Target Areas for Prevention
- Chronic Diseases Caused by Infectious Agents
- Vaccine Development and Use
68Populations Particularlyat Risk
- People with impaired host defenses
- Pregnant women and newborns
- Travelers, immigrants, refugees
69Bioterrorism as an Emerging Infectious Disease
Threat
- Intentional dissemination of disease
- Infectious and toxic agents
- viruses, bacteria, toxins, fungi
70Public Health Approach to Emerging Infectious
Diseases
- Surveillance
- Epidemiology for early diagnosis
- Early response to outbreaks and changing disease
patterns
71Public Health Approach continued
- Public Health Laboratory support for rapid and
accurate diagnosis - Rapid Communication links to private providers
and hospitals - Communication to public
- Education about prevention and/or early detection
72Your role in the prevention of emerging
infectious diseases
- Best practices
- Antibiotic use
- Food preparation
- Control exposure
- Awareness of risk
- Behavior change
73 Your role in education about emerging infectious
diseases
- Stay informed
- CDC Web Pages
- MMWR on Web
- EID Journal
- Educate patients/family/friends
- Know resources - who to call
74 Your role in detection of emerging infectious
diseases
- Participate in surveillance activities within
your clinical setting - Be alert for clues assess risk
- Know your resources - who to call for
consultation - Report to local health department
75Factors Affecting Surveillance Outbreak
discovery Outbreak analysis Validity of
notification data Notification delays Information
feedback Sources of data
76Strategies for polio eradication
- Rountine immunisation of all children
- Supplemental immunisation- NIDs
- Acute flaccid paralysis
- Mop up
77AFP Surveillance
- Any acute flaccid paralysis in children below 15
years should be brought to the notice of
survellnace officer for investigation - Child is kept under surevillnace and after 60
days of onset of flaccid paralysis with atrophy
is suggestive of poliomyelitis - AFP indicator- rate of occurrence of AFP is 1
case per year for every 100,000 population less
than 15 years - Country certified polio free- no new cases due to
WPV in the preceeding three consecutive years
78- Intial investigation- investigate cases within 48
hours and filling the case investigation forms. - 2 stool samples collected , 2 days apart 24-48
hours within 2 weeks of onset of paralysis - Samples kept and transported in reversed cold
chain to lab for virus isolation - Report of virus isolation- 28 days
- Confirmation ( biological / virological)
79- isolation of virus from stool- residual paralysis
on 60day follow up- confirmed case - No residual paralysis on 60th day- non polio AFP
- successful NIDs reduce the disease from endemic
to confined in focal areas - Mop up intensive house to house campaign in
areas with suspicion of persistence WPV
80Eradication of measles
- Like smallpox , measles can be completely
eradicated because the virus does not infect
other species or live in the environment. - However eradication has been difficult because it
is widespread and there is substantial
transmission of the virus among infants below the
age of rountine vaccination. - WHA resolved in 1989 to reduce measles morbidity
by 90 and mortality by 95.
81- Improved rountine immunisation of infants and
mass campaign targeting infants and children 9
months 5years as complementary strategies. - based on sustantial success in reducing the
incidence of measles and interupting virus
transmission over large geographical areas, the
americas made elimination of measles a goal in
year 2000
82- Most countries in region of the Americas have a
low record of measles cases . - However it is not certain if these measures will
be sufficient to eliminate measles in Africa