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Interconnection in an IP-Based NGN Environment

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Title: Interconnection in an IP-Based NGN Environment


1
Interconnection in anIP-Based NGN Environment
  • J. Scott Marcus, Senior Consultant
  • ITU Workshop What rules for IP-enabled NGNs?
  • Geneva, March 23-24, 2006

2
Interconnection in anIP-Based NGN Environment
  • Introduction
  • The economics of interconnection
  • Fixed, mobile, Internet
  • Retail and wholesale arrangements
  • Quality of Service
  • Market power and interconnection
  • Interconnection and universal service
  • Billing and accounting challenges
  • A hypothetical scenario
  • Summary

3
Introduction
  • IP-based NGNs represent the marriage of the
    Public Switched Telephone Network (PSTN) with the
    world of the Internet
  • Very different interconnection arrangements
    prevail in these two worlds.
  • Different technology.
  • Different regulatory history.
  • Different industry structure.
  • What should happen when worlds collide?

4
Introduction
  • Why do we regulate?
  • Market failures Market power
  • Market failures Desirable capabilities that
    would not deploy without help (some of which
    constitute public goods)
  • Manage limited resources (spectrum, numbers)

5
Introduction
  • What role for regulation in the world of the
    IP-based NGN?
  • Where service providers possess Significant
    Market Power (SMP), they will tend to have both
    the ability and the incentive to exploit that
    market power, to the detriment of consumers. In
    the absence of regulation, interconnection often
    serves as a locus for the exploitation of SMP.
  • Coase Theorem (1959) private parties can
    often negotiate arrangements more efficiently
    than government regulators, provided that
    necessary preconditions have been met.
  • In markets where competition is fully effective
    (no SMP exists), competitive forces will
    generally make regulation unnecessary.
  • Things should be as simple as they can be, but
    no simpler. - EInstein

6
Introduction
  • NGN access versus NGN core (source ECTA)
  • NGN access the deployment of fibre into the
    local loop, either to the incumbents street
    cabinet or the deployment of fibre all the way
    to customer premises (typically apartment blocks
    rather than individual houses).
  • NGN access the replacement of legacy
    transmission and switching equipment by IP
    technology in the core, or backbone, network.
    This involves changing telephony switches and
    installing routers and Voice over IP equipment.
  • Significantly different regulatory implications.
  • My primary focus in this talk is on the NGN core,
    but broadband deployment generally and NGN access
    in particular interact with these issues.

7
Introduction
  • My history
  • Senior Consultant, WIK-Consult (Germany)
  • Senior Advisor for Internet Technology, FCC (USA)
  • Chief Technology Officer, GTE Internetworking
    (USA)
  • Engineer by training
  • My approach to these interconnection issues is
    primarily through economics rather than
    engineering.

8
The economics of interconnection retail
  • Calling party pays (CPP) the party that
    initiates the call pays for the call, usually
    based on the duration of the call generally, the
    party that receives (terminates) the call pays
    nothing.
  • Receiving party pays (RPP) or Mobile Party Pays
    (MPP) the originating and terminating parties
    each pay a share for the call. In North America,
    where this system historically has been used,
    mobile receiving parties paid but fixed receiving
    parties did not.
  • Flat rate the consumer pays a fixed (monthly)
    fee for unlimited domestic calls.
  • The buckets of minutes plan the consumer pays
    a fixed (monthly) fee for some number of minutes
    of domestic calls, but pays a per-minute fee for
    minutes in excess of those in the bucket.

9
The economics of interconnection retail
  • CPP arrangements reflected the historical
    perception that the caller is the primary
    beneficiary of the call, and also the main
    cost-causer.
  • This concept has been challenged in recent years
  • Clearly, the receiver also benefits.
  • If the receiver saw no merit in the call, he or
    she could simply hang up thus, after the first
    minute, caller and called party can be viewed as
    (equal) partners in the call. (Cf. Jeon et. al.)
  • In the world of the IP-based NGN, origination and
    termination are likely to become less relevant
    over time. (Cf. de Graba)

10
The economics of interconnection retail
  • Consumers tend to grealy prefer flat rate (or
    buckets) plans over usage-based plans (Cf.
    Odlyzko)
  • ATT Wirelesss offer of Digital One Rate (1998)
  • America Onlines flat rate Internet access (1995)
  • In the United States, flat rate / bucket plans
    are increasingly prevalent at all levels
  • Mobile services
  • Fixed services, including long distance
  • Internet access

11
The economics of interconnection wholesale
  • Calling Partys Network Pays (CPNP) the calling
    partys network (the originating operator) makes
    a wholesale payment to the receiving partys
    network (the terminating operator).
  • Bill and Keep a U.S. term of art denoting the
    absence of any regulatory obligation for payments
    between the networks.

12
The economics of interconnection wholesale
  • In an unregulated CPNP system, carriers will tend
    to establish very high termination charge levels.
    Normal economic forces provide an inadequate
    brake on this practice, because the terminating
    operator is imposing the charges indirectly on
    another carriers customer. The terminating
    operator does not bear the full burden of
    suppressing demand through a price that is
    arguably too high.
  • These high prices impact consumer welfare in a
    number of ways. This problem is general referred
    to as the termination monopoly.
  • Paradoxically, small operators will be motivated
    to set termination charges to even higher levels
    than will larger operators. (Cf. Laffont and
    Tirole (2001) Haucap and Dewenter)
  • Regulatory asymmetries for example, between
    regulated fixed operators and unregulated mobile
    operators can exacerbate this problem.

13
The economics of interconnection
  • Termination charges at the wholesale level
    interact with retail pricing arrangements.
  • The termination fee generally sets a floor on the
    retail price.
  • Where termination fees are high, they generally
    prevent flat rate or buckets plans from
    emerging.
  • This is true even where payments between the
    operators are in rough balance, such that little
    money changes hands.
  • Each operator will tend to view the termination
    charge as a component of its marginal cost. (Cf.
    Laffont and Tirole)
  • If an operator chooses to ignore this wholesale
    cost in the hope that the payments will balance
    anyway, that operator risks attracting customers
    who place disproportionately many calls to
    customers of other providers (adverse
    selection).

14
The economics of interconnection
  • Mobile operators that implement CPP/CPNP tend to
    have the following characteristics at the retail
    level
  • Low or zero initial cost
  • Low or zero monthly cost
  • High usage (per minute) cost
  • Mobile operators (U.S.) that implement buckets
    plans and Bill and Keep tend to have the
    following characteristics at the retail level
  • Higher initial cost
  • Higher monthly cost
  • Low or zero effective usage (per minute) cost
  • These differences tend to lead to faster adoption
    of the mobile service in CPP/CPNP systems, but
    much lower rates of utilization.

15
The economics of interconnection
Source of data U.S. FCC, 10th CMRS Report, July
2005, Table 10, based on Glen Campbell et al.,
Global Wireless Matrix 4Q04, Merrill Lynch, Apr.
13, 2005.
16
The economics of interconnection
  • In the U.S., the FCC has been attempting for
    years to migrate their interconnection
    arrangements to a Bill and Keep basis for all
    services. (Cf. de Graba (2000), Atkinson and
    Barnekov (2000)).
  • The FCCs sense has been that
  • Bill and Keep simplifies regulatory rate-setting
    or avoids it altogether.
  • Bill and Keep already works well in many settings
    in the U.S.
  • Bill and Keep will be easier to apply to the
    IP-based networks of the future.
  • To date, the U.S. has been unable to forge a
    political consensus to move forward on this issue.

17
Peering economic models
  • An extensive economics literature exists about
    interconnection in the traditional PSTN world.
  • An emerging literature deals with interconnection
    in the world of the Internet.
  • We are in the early stages of understanding the
    relationships between the two.

18
Peering and Transit
  • Peering is an agreement between ISPs to carry
    traffic for each other and for their respective
    customers. Peering does not include the
    obligation to carry traffic to third parties.
    Peering is usually a bilateral business and
    technical arrangement, where two providers agree
    to accept traffic from one another, and from one
    anothers customers (and thus from their
    customers customers).
  • Transit is an agreement where an ISP agrees to
    carry traffic on behalf of another ISP or end
    user. In most cases transit will include an
    obligation to carry traffic to third parties.
    Transit is usually a bilateral business and
    technical arrangement, where one provider (the
    transit provider) agrees to carry traffic to
    third parties on behalf of another provider or an
    end user (the customer). In most cases, the
    transit provider carries traffic to and from its
    other customers, and to and from every
    destination on the Internet, as part of the
    transit arrangement. In a transit agreement, the
    ISP often also provides ancillary services, such
    as Service Level Agreements, installation
    support, local telecom provisioning, and Network
    Operations Center (NOC) support.
  • Peering thus offers a provider access only to a
    single providers customers. Transit, by
    contrast, usually provides access at a
    predictable price to the entire Internet.
  • Historically, peering has often been done on a
    bill-and-keep basis, without cash payments.
    Peering where there is no explicit exchange of
    money between parties, and where each party
    supports part of the cost of the interconnect,
    is typically used where both parties perceive a
    roughly equal exchange of value. Peering
    therefore is fundamentally a barter
    relationship.
  • - NRIC V (advisory council to FCC)

19
Peering and Transit
Transit Connection
Larger ISP or Backbone
Regional or Local ISP
Many remote locations connect to a regional or
local ISP with individual, low bandwidth
connections
Concentration to a larger ISP or backbone
provider with global connectivity by means of
a concentrated, high bandwidth connection
20
Peering and Transit
Transit Connection
Larger ISP or Backbone
Regional or Local ISP
This peering connection will tend to exist if the
cost of the connection to each ISP is less
than the money each saves due to reduced transit
traffic.
Transit Connection
Larger ISP or Backbone
Regional or Local ISP
21
Peering and Transit
Cf. Lixin Gao (2000)
  • In general, money flows upstream, while
    obligations flow downstream.
  • Transit agreements are vastly simpler than
    peering agreements.
  • In general, peering is a bilateral technical and
    commercial arrangement.

22
Peering economic models
  • Define
  • co as cost of origination
  • ct as cost of termination
  • a as an access charge levied on the sender
  • Due to shortest exit, ct gt co
  • Then
  • cost for the originating network is co a
  • cost for the terminating network is ct a
  • The model extends in a straightforward way to
    accommodate multiple levels of quality of service
    (QoS).

Network i
Network j
Source Laffont et. al., Internet
Interconnection and the Off-Net-Cost Pricing
Principle
23
Peering economic models
  • A key difference with this telecommunications
    literature is that in the latter there is a
    missing price receivers do not pay for receiving
    calls The missing price has important
    implications
  • The operators optimal usage price reflects
    their perceived marginal cost. But when operators
    do not charge their customers for the traffic
    they receive, operator i s perceived marginal
    cost of outgoing traffic is the unit cost of
    traffic is the on-net cost c, augmented by the
    expected off-net markup.
  • Comparing the two perceived marginal costs of
    outgoing traffic with and without receiver
    charge, for given access charge and market
    shares, the price for sending traffic is higher
    (lower) than in the presence of reception charges
    if and only if there is a termination discount
    (markup).
  • In sum, the missing payment affects the
    backbones perceived costs, and it reallocates
    costs between origination and reception.

Source Laffont et. al., Internet
Interconnection and the Off-Net-Cost Pricing
Principle
24
Market power and interconnection
  • Regulators continue to find it necessary to
    intervene where an operator has Significant
    Market Power (SMP).
  • The migration to NGN will not necessarily
    eliminate SMP. Notably, market power associated
    with last mile bottlenecks will continue to be a
    significant regulatory concern for the
    foreseeable future.
  • A new market power challenge has appeared,
    primarily in the U.S. the network neutrality
    issue.

25
Market power and interconnection
  • Network neutrality means different things to
    different people
  • The possibility that an integrated ISP might
    offer better performance to some Internet sites
    than to others
  • The possibility that an integrated ISP might
    assess a surcharge where a customer wants
    better-than-standard performance to certain
    Internet sites
  • The fear that the integrated ISP might permit
    access only to affiliated sites, and block access
    to unaffiliated sites
  • The fear that the integrated ISP might assess
    surcharges for the use of certain applications,
    or of certain devices
  • The fear that the integrated ISP might disallow
    outright the use of certain applications, or of
    certain devices, especially where those
    applications or devices compete with services
    that the integrated ISP offers and for which it
    charges and
  • The fear that the integrated ISP might erect
    tollgates in order to collect unwarranted
    charges from unaffiliated content providers who
    need to reach the integrated ISPs customers.

26
Market power and interconnection
  • The chief executive of ATT, Edward Whitacre,
    told Business Week last year that his company
    (then called SBC Communications) wanted some way
    to charge major Internet concerns like Google and
    Vonage for the bandwidth they use. "What they
    would like to do is use my pipes free, but I
    ain't going to let them do that because we have
    spent this capital and we have to have a return
    on it," he said. NY Times, March 8, 2006

27
Market power and interconnection
  • Many of the concerns that have been raised in
    regard to network neutrality relate to behaviors
    that, in the absence of market power, would tend
    to enhance consumer welfare.
  • Some would appear to represent legitimate price
    discrimination.
  • Others enforce the economic property of
    excludability (the ability to prevent someone
    from using a service that he did not pay for) in
    support of price discrimination.
  • The form of market power that could potentially
    be exploited in anticompetitive ways in
    connection with network neutrality relates to
    network externalities (where the value of a
    service depends on the number of users of the
    service). (Cf. Katz and Shapiro (1985)).
  • The degree to which this issue has heated up
    recently in the U.S. probably reflects increasing
    concentration in the relevant markets.

28
Market power and interconnection
  • Trying to address these network neutrality
    challenges through regulation ex ante (in
    advance) is likely to prove extremely difficult.
  • A first line of defense for regulatory
    authorities should instead be to maintain the
    competitiveness of the underlying markets,
    especially as regards broadband Internet access
    and as regards high capacity Internet transit.
    Service-based competition (rather than
    facilities-based competition) would be sufficient
    for this purpose.
  • In countries where competition law provides an ex
    post (after the fact) complement to regulation,
    it might be most appropriate to deal with
    occasional or sporadic problems related to
    network neutrality through the exercise of
    competition law.

29
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • A series of initiatives to implement
    inter-provider QoS on an inter-provider basis
    have generated scant results.
  • Early Nineties RSVP
  • Late Nineties - DiffServ
  • Backbone peering attempts especially circa 2000
    - 2001

30
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • Early Nineties Integrated Services Architecture
    (RSVP)
  • Comprehensive system of prioritized delivery.
  • Required significant soft state in the routers.
  • Perceived as too difficult to deploy.
  • Not entirely true BBN (my former employer) had
    working RSVP-capable production networks from the
    mid-Nineties.
  • Technical success.
  • Market failure.
  • No customer willingness to pay a significant
    premium for on-net differentiated service.

31
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • Traffic is classified on entry to a network
  • Metered
  • Marked
  • Policed
  • Shaped
  • Services implemented based on defined Per-Hop
    Behaviors (PHBs)
  • Queue processing (prioritization)
  • Queue management (drops)

32
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • At a technical level, QoS is not fundamentally
    hard.
  • DiffServ is technically trivial.
  • MPLS in a single network is technically trivial.
  • Cross-provider MPLS is only marginally harder.
  • Even RSVP is not that hard. My company, BBN, had
    working production RSVP-compliant networks in
    1995!
  • In terms of the basic economics, QoS is not
    fundamentally hard.
  • Nonetheless, there is no significant
    cross-provider roll-out to date.
  • WHY NOT?

33
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • M/G/1 queueing analysis of link performance
  • (with clocking delay of 50 µsecs (284 byte
    packets) and a 155 Mbps link)

34
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • For real time services such as voice telephony
    traffic, it is important that mean delay and
    variability of delay be held to low values.
  • Delay in excess of about 150 milliseconds causes
    collisions.
  • Buffering can address variability as long as the
    mean and variance are not too great.
  • The buffer then represents a fixed increment to
    the propagation delay.
  • For circuit speeds of T-3 and up, queuing delays
    in a properly designed network will generally be
    less than 1 millisecond per hop under normal
    operating conditions.
  • Propagation delay (speed of light) will tend to
    dominate any variable queuing delays under normal
    operating conditions.

35
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • IMPLICATION Most of the time, and under normal
    conditions, variable delay in the core of the
    network(s) is unlikely to be perceptible to the
    VoIP user.
  • FURTHER IMPLICATION Consumers will not willingly
    pay a large premium for a performance difference
    that they cannot perceive.
  • Packet delay is more likely to be an issue
  • For slower circuits at the edge of the network
  • For shared circuits (e.g. cable modem services)
  • When one or more circuits are saturated
  • When one or more components have failed
  • When a force majeure incident has occurred

36
Differentiated Quality of Service (QoS)
  • Technical challenges, or economic challenges?
  • Revenues
  • Limited customer willingness to pay a substantial
    premium.
  • Limited benefits until widely deployed (network
    effects).
  • Costs
  • Agreements needed with many peering partners.
  • Economic transaction costs to negotiate each
    agreement.
  • Measurement, management and dispute resolution
    challenges.
  • The business case is difficult to prove in.
  • Implies difficulties in getting past the initial
    adoption hump.

37
Interconnection and universal service
  • Most countries seek to ensure that all can afford
    basic communication services. This often implies
    some degree of subsidy support to areas that are
    remote or that have low teledensity.
  • There is some economic basis for this, grounded
    again in the theory of network externalities. The
    communications network is worth more to everyone
    if nearly everyone is reachable through it.
  • At the same time, economists worry about the
    economic distortions implicit in any system of
    universal service. Universal service implies that
    service will be deployed to areas where rational
    economic judgment alone would not lead to
    deployment.
  • In many countries, interconnection charges are
    used to provide implicit or explicit funding
    support for universal service programs.

38
Interconnection and universal service
  • Some developing countries (and also some
    developed countries, including the U.S.) permit
    rural operators to assess higher termination fees
    than urban operators, presumably reflecting
    higher unit costs (due to lower density of
    consumers, and possibly to more challenging
    geography). This effectively subsidizes the rural
    operator. Organizations such as the World Bank
    have tended to be supportive of such practices.
  • International termination charges have also
    tended to generate subsidies from developed
    countries to developing countries, even if the
    rates are symmetric. Far more calls are placed
    from developed countries to developing countries
    than vice versa. This asymmetry generates an
    effective subsidy to the developing world, which
    could be used to support universal service
    programs.

39
Interconnection and universal service
  • The migration to IP-based NGNs will tend to put
    pressure on any interconnection arrangements that
    are widely at variance with cost. It will,
    moreover, tend to expand opportunities to bypass
    inefficient interconnection arrangements.
  • There are many, obvious problems associated with
    using termination charges to subsidize universal
    service. Nonetheless, the concern that must be
    raised is that it is not clear what developing
    countries might do if these subsidies were to
    disappear over the next few years.

40
Billing and accounting
  • Billing/accounting systems must enable a service
    or network provider to reliably charge for the
    service.
  • Both parties must ultimately agree on the
    correctness of the charge. To the extent that
    charges are not predetermined, this implies
  • Clear documentation of the basis for the bill.
  • Data capture (accounting) to create and
    substantiate the bill.
  • Dispute resolution / reconciliation procedures.

41
Billing and accounting requirements
  • In a DiffServ environment, billing and accounting
    systems would likely need to
  • Enable the sending provider to mark the DS
    codepoint required for a particular IP datagram.
  • Enable the receiving provider to accept or
    decline the request, remarking the IP datagram if
    necessary.
  • Authorize one provider to apply a surcharge to
    the other's traffic in exchange for respecting
    its request for differentiated handling.
  • Enable both providers to verify that the service
    that was delivered conformed to their service
    level specification commitments to one another.
  • Facilitate trouble-shooting across multiple
    provider networks.
  • The providers could, instead, choose to waive
    payments (Bill and Keep).

42
Billing and accounting challenges
  • In an NGN world, the network service provider
    (the ISP) will not necessarily be the application
    service provider. A VoIP service or an IPTV
    provider will not necessarily be a network
    provider.
  • The network provider will have only limited
    visibility into third party applications running
    over its network (and the user could further
    reduce visibility by encrypting the data).
  • The unaffiliated application provider may have
    extensive visibility into the application that it
    provides, but only limited visibility into the
    use of network resources.
  • Usage-based billing will be possible only to the
    extent that the usage can be rigorously and
    unambiguously measured.

43
Billing and accounting challenges
  • How will providers and customers ensure that
    service commitments are met? Whose statistics
    will govern?
  • Competitive providers are reluctant to share
    statistics about their respective networks with
    one another, and peering agreements typically
    restrict the ability of the providers to disclose
    information about one anothers networks to third
    parties. Can sufficient information be disclosed
    to customers?
  • How will responsibility be allocated if a
    customers traffic fails to achieve its committed
    service level specification? Traffic data can
    legitimately be interpreted in more than one way.
    Will it be possible to administer payments and
    penalties rigorously and fairly?
  • How can providers prevent fraud? How can they
    distinguish between fraud and legitimate use?

44
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • Consider a migration to an IP-based NGN in a
    European country.
  • Prior to migration, the country has
  • an incumbent wired and wireless operator that had
    previously been the countrys PTT (BigCo), and
    that still has substantial market share and
    market power
  • various wired and wireless competitive operators
  • various independent providers of broadband
    Internet services, some facilities-based, some
    providing service competition based on
    procompetitive regulation (LLU, bitstream, and
    shared access)
  • several independent providers of VoIP and
  • a number of local providers of Internet content,
    both web and video.

45
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • BigCo chooses to migrate
  • To achieve economies of scope through improved
    integration
  • To achieve faster time-to-market for new
    services.
  • Competitors may feel pressure to migrate to
    maintain competitiveness with BigCo.
  • BigCo would likely continue to be subject to
    procompetitive regulatory obligations for
    competitive access to last mile facilities (e.g.
    local loop unbundling LLU, shared access and
    bitstream access), until and unless three or more
    effective competitors were to emerge for the last
    mile.
  • Interconnection obligations would likely remain
    in place as long as traditional interconnection
    is offered.

46
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • Would it be necessary to impose interconnection
    obligations for IP-based interconnection? Assume
    arguendo that obligations are not imposed.
  • Extrapolating from todays experience, BigCo
    would likely be motivated to implemented
    (settlement-free) IP-based peering arrangements
    with large international operators, and probably
    with a small number of its largest domestic
    competitors.
  • If BigCo were not motivated to peer with any
    domestic competitors, regulatory action might
    possibly be appropriate. (Cf. Telstra in
    Australia)
  • Smaller competitors could purchase transit from
    BigCo, or from one or more of its competitors.

47
A Hypothetical Scenario
ForeignCo
48
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • Assume that key underlying markets (including
    broadband access, and leased lines) are subject
    either to (1) effective competition, or (2)
    effective regulation.
  • Under these various assumptions, BigCos
    competitors should be able to reach BigCo
    customers with unit costs that are not greatly
    different from those of BigCo itself. This would
    appear to imply that a competitive market should
    emerge, with prices not greatly in excess of
    marginal cost.
  • ForeignCo would be able to reach BigCo customers
    with unit costs that exceed those of BigCo
    primarily by the incremental costs imposed by
    ForeignCo operating from outside the national
    territory. If BigCo were to price excessively,
    doing so might encourage a ForeignCo to attempt
    entry. This implicit threat also serves to
    constrain BigCos behavior.

49
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • BigCo should be able to charge a premium for
    better-than-best efforts service under these
    assumptions, but its ability to charge a premium
    will be limited to the willingness of consumers
    to pay, given that they have meaningful
    competitive alternatives.
  • BigCo should be able to sell application services
    (VoIP, IPTV and more) to its broadband customers,
    and there is no obvious reason why this should
    not be profitable however, their price will tend
    to be constrained by the ability of independent
    service providers (e.g. Skype) to offer services
    directly to BigCos broadband customers.
  • Again, all of this seems to imply the likely
    emergence of an appropriately competitive market,
    as long as underlying facilities (broadband
    access, leased lines and so on) are subject
    either to effective competition or to effective
    regulation.

50
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • This scenario did not assume a regulatory
    obligation to interconnect at the IP level.
  • The apparent implication is that a Coasian
    solution letting the providers determine their
    own interconnection arrangements through private
    arrangements should continue to function well
    in an NGN world (much as it does today), as long
    as regulators are careful to prevent exploitation
    of market power in regard to underlying
    facilities.

51
A Hypothetical Scenario
  • Implementation of differentiated QoS among peers
    is likely to develop only slowly, for reasons
    previously explained.
  • Differentiated QoS among transit customers of
    BigCo, and those of its larger competitors, might
    turn out to be a more tractable problem. In
    countries where much of the traffic tends to
    remain within the country (e.g. due to language
    affinity effects), it might be possible to
    achieve critical mass in this way, and then to
    link islands of QoS-capable connectivity.

52
Summary
  • Provided that underlying markets for Internet
    transit and for consumer broadband Internet
    access are effectively competitive (or
    effectively regulated), a Coasian NGN
    interconnection regime of private unregulated
    arrangements is likely to be more efficient, and
    more consistent with consumer welfare, than a
    regulated regime.
  • Conversely, where these markets are not
    effectively competitive, mandates for
    interconnection at the IP level and/or network
    neutrality may prove to be unavoidable,
    particularly once existing PSTN interconnection
    is withdrawn. The migration to NGN potentially
    creates new sources of market power, at the same
    time that it creates new possibilities for
    competition.
  • Policymakers might consequently be well advised
    to focus their attention first on ensuring
    competitive markets, and only secondarily on NGN
    interconnection.

53
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