Title: Assessment of Impacts of and Adaptation to Climate Change in Multiple Regions and Sectors (AIACC)
1Welcome
2Assessment of Impacts of and Adaptation to
Climate Change in Multiple Regions and Sectors
(AIACC)
Potential Impacts of Climate Change and VA
Assessment for Grassland Ecosystem and
Livestock Sector in Mongolia
Asia-Pacific Regional Workshop Bangkok, 24-27
March 2002
P.Batima, PI of the project, Institute of
Meteorology and Hydrology
3Contents
- Climate change studies in Mongolia
- Project objectives
- Institutional Involvement
- Methodology
- Results
4Climate Changes Studies in Mongolia
5Climate Changes Studies in Mongolia
The first climate change study carried out under
the US Country Studies Program (USCSP), in which
prepared the first GHG inventory for 1990 and
conducted preliminary assessment of climate
change impacts.
6Climate Changes Studies in Mongolia
In 1999 Mongolia has developed its National
Action Programme on Climate Change (NAPCC) with
assistance from the Government of the
Netherlands. The programme comprises an overview
of impact assessment, possible adaptation
measures, GHGs emission inventory and its
projections, GHGs mitigation measures, and
response measures implementation strategies.
Mongolia has submitted the Initial National
Communication to the UNFCCC in 2001.
7Project Development
- Implement NAPCC
- Contribute to second NC
8Project Objectives
9Institutional Involvement
The ministry most closely involved in climate
change and environmental problem is the Ministry
of Nature and Environment (MNE).
The Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology is the
administrating institution for the project
implementation. The institute conducts climate
change studies since 1993.
Other important organizations, which are
involving in the project activities, the JEMR
Co.LTD, Mongolian Academy of Sciences,
International Institute for Study of Nomadic
Civilization, Natural Resource Ecology
Laboratory, Colorado State University,
Information and Computer Center, Institute of
Geography, SATU Co.LTD, Mongolian National
University, University of Agriculture and others.
Private sectors and NGOs are also involving in
climate change activities.
10Stakeholder
Consultants Experts Workshop
11Methodologies
The analytical approaches are based on review and
evaluation of past studies and learning from the
evaluation.
The ecosystem model CENTURY, The Dynamic
statistical model of the ewe weight and Basin
Conceptual model
Remote sensing and GIS technologies are using for
data gathering, thematic processing of
attributes, maps and images
Participatory involvement survey
Training
Field survey
12Work plan
- Past and present climate change impact
- Vulnerability and Future CC impact
- Integrated and Adaptation Assessment
13Trend analysis Temperature (annual,
seasonal, heath and cold wave)
Precipitation (annual, seasonal,
percentile) Responses to climate change
Natural resources (water, snow cover, soil)
Pasture (productivity, capacity, phenology)
Animal husbandry (weight, productivity) Field
study Natural disaster
14Trend analysis
15Changes in Temperature
- World air temperature 0.3-0.60C
- for last 100 years
- Annual mean temperature 1.66oC of Mongolia
- Winter temperature 3.61oC
- Spring 1.5oC
- Summer 0oC
16Changes in Temperature
17Changes in Precipitation
18Responses to climate change
19Water Resources
20Snow Cover
Ìèæèääîðæ, ªëçèéñàéõàí
21Animal Husbandry
Áàÿðáààòàð
22Natural disaster
23Drought and wind storm
24Field survey
25Steps
26Thank you for your attention
27Outputs
- Based on the results of the Impact and VA
assessment on key socio-economic and
environmental sectors, the following documents,
consistent with Mongolia National Action Program
on Climate Change, will be prepared and submitted
to the Government - Report of Climate Change Impact and VA
Assessment for socio-economic development. The
report will include vulnerability of rangeland
ecosystems and pastoral systems to climate change
(warming, variability and extremes) and land use
intensity identified through integrated impact,
adaptation and vulnerability assessments, using
long-term climate and plant records, RS sensing
data (AVHRR and TM), ecosystem model CENTURY and
field survey. - Recommendations of the economically effective and
culturally acceptable adaptation measures in
pasture management and livestock development to
support national sustainable development
strategies will be suggested. Implementation
strategies of the most promising adaptation
measures in vulnerable region will be
recommended. - Climate mitigation options in the context of
development, sustainability and equity will be
evaluated, and potential adaptation strategies
for policymaking will be developed for each land
use type regions, with particular emphasis on the
most vulnerable coupled environment-human
systems. - Several peer-reviewed papers and Vulnerability
and Adaptation Assessment of Grassland Ecosystem
and Pastoral System to Climate Change in
Mongolia book will be written as a result of
this project.