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Lightning Detection Systems Used for Americas Space Program in Florida

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Possible New Algorithm. Set Radial Error Increase with Range to Azimuthally Rate ... vs. One per Flash in CGLSS. Implemented Apr 08. Lightning Detection Systems ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Lightning Detection Systems Used for Americas Space Program in Florida


1
Southern Thunder Workshop (28-30
Jul 09)
Unclassified
Lightning Detection SystemsUsed for Americas
Space Programin Florida Mr. William P.
Roeder Meteorologist 45th Weather Squadron
2
Overview
  • Lightning and Space Launch in Florida
  • Four-Dimensional Lightning Surveillance System
    (4DLSS)
  • Other 45 WS Lightning Detection Systems not
    Covered

2
3
Lightning and Space Launch in Florida
  • Americas Space Program in Florida is at
    Cape Canaveral AFS and NASA Kennedy Space Center
    in Central Florida
  • Central Florida is U.S. Lightning Alley
  • Space Launch and Processing for Space Launch
    are Highly Sensitive to Lightning
  • Lightning Launch Commit Criteria
  • Ground Processing
  • Warnings for Personnel Safety and Resource
    Protection
  • Assessing Induced Current Impacts on
    Payloads and Vehicle Electronics

3
4
Lightning and Space Launch in Florida
  • Solution
  • One of the Best Suite of Lightning Detectors
    in all of Operational Meteorology
  • Four Dimensional Lightning Surveillance
    System (4DLSS)
  • Launch Pad Lightning Warning System (LPLWS)
  • National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN)
  • Radar for Lightning Prediction
  • WSR-74C
  • WRR being Implemented
  • See briefing by McNamara
  • Only 4DLSS covered here

4
5
4DLSS
  • 4DLSS New System Provides Major Upgrade to
    LDAR, and Integrates Old CGLSS
  • LDAR Detects Step Leaders from Intra-Cloud
    Lightning
  • CGLSS Detects Return Strokes from
    CG-Lightning
  • LDAR-II Upgrade
  • 9 LDAR-II Sensors vs. 7 Old Sensors in LDAR
  • 2.5x Larger Horizontal Spacing than LDAR
  • New CP-8000 Processor
  • CGLSS-II Upgrade
  • Same 6 IMPACT Sensors used in CGLSS
  • Processed in CP-8000
  • Implemented April 2008 into Operations

5
6
4DLSS
6
7
4DLSS
7
8
4DLSS
8
9
4DLSS
  • Performance Intra-Cloud Lightning
  • Detection Rate Same or Better than LDAR
  • 100 of Flashes within the Network,
    Including CCAFS/KSC
  • All Flashes, but not All Step Leaders
  • 40 More Step Leaders than LDAR
  • Location Accuracy Same or Better than LDAR
  • 100 m within the Network
  • Radial Location Error Increases Much Less with
    Distance
  • Much Less Radial Smearing than LDAR
  • Aircraft Signals Eliminated
  • Occasional Light Noise on Cold Mornings

9
10
4DLSS
  • 4DLSS Flash Detection Rate () for Lightning
    Aloft
  • 100 Inside Network, Including CCAFS/KSC
  • Vaisala Modeling Study

75 Km
10
11
4DLSS
  • 4DLSS Step-Leader Location Accuracy (Km) for
    IC-Ltg
  • 100 m Inside Network, Including CCAFS/KSC
  • Vaisala Modeling Study

11
12
4DLSS
  • Performance Cloud-to-Ground Lightning
  • Detection Rate same as CGLSS
  • 98 of Return Strokes within 50 NM of the
    Network
  • Location Accuracy same as CGLSS
  • 250 m Median / 50 Error
  • 50 of Return Strokes will be within 250 m of
    Reported Location
  • 50 will be Farther than 250 m
  • 600 m 99 Error
  • 99 of Return Strokes will be within 600 m of
    Reported Location
  • 1 will be Farther than 600 m

12
13
4DLSS
  • Performance Cloud-to-Ground Lightning
    (can't.)
  • Detects All Return Strokes per Flash
  • Old CGLSS Reported Only 1 Stroke per Flash
  • Lightning has 3.5 Return Strokes per Flash on
    Average
  • ? 50 of Flashes Have Return Strokes with
    Multiple Ground Strike Locations
  • Average Separation 3 Km
  • Up to 12 Km Separation
  • Vital to Main Purpose of CG Component of
    4DLSS, Advising Customers if Inspection of
    Payload/Rocket Electronics for Damage from
    Induced Currents

13
14
4DLSS
  • Performance Cloud-to-Ground Lightning
    (can't.)
  • Fixed CGLSS Problem of Distant Strokes being
    Reported too Close
  • Intentionally done in CGLSS to Increase
    Detection Rate of Local Lightning
  • Reduces Reported Detections Compared to CGLSS,
    but is More Representative
  • Combining the Two Effects, 4DLSS Reports
    150 More Strokes than CGLSS
  • Effect-1 More Strokes from Detecting All
    Strokes
  • Effect-2 Fewer Strokes from Fixing Distant
    Lightning Reported too Close

14
15
  • Example of Some 4DLSS IC-Ltg Advantages
  • Same Date/Time/Sample Volume

LDAR
4DLSS
  • Less Radial Smearing
  • Reduced Lightning Warnings from
    Thunderstorms just on Mainland Smearing
    Back Over Warning Areas

15
16
Example of Some 4DLSS IC-Ltg Advantages - Same
Date/Time/Sample Volume
LDAR
4DLSS
  • Better Detection Rate and Less Radial
    Smearing Combine to Show More Detailed
    Lightning Structures

16
17
CGLSS
Example of Some 4DLSS IC-Ltg Advantages - Same
Date/Time/Sample Area
4DLSS
  • Distant Lightning Wrongly Located too Close by
    CGLSS
  • Virtually Eliminated by 4DLSS

17
18
4DLSS
Strong Case of Occasional Noise
18
19
4DLSS
Strong Case of Occasional Noise
  • Sometimes Occurs During Strong Nocturnal
    Inversions
  • Easily Recognized
  • Random 3-D Distribution
  • Doesnt Look Like Lightning
  • Centered on Network
  • Meteorological Conditions
  • Lightning not Expected
  • Likely Due to Ducting and Transmitter at
    4DLSS Frequency
  • Transmitter not Necessarily Located in
    Middle of Noise. Noise Location Solutions
    Randomly Distributed Around Center of Network.
  • Suggestions?
  • Tweak Sensitivity?
  • Tweak Noise Filters?
  • Adjust Frequency?
  • Do Nothing for High Detection Rate?

19
20
4DLSS
  • New Flash Algorithm Needed
  • Important to Many Researcher Using 4DLSS!
  • Previous Location Error Ellipse as a Function
    of Range No Longer Applies
  • Radial Error Increases Less with Range vs. Old
    LDAR
  • Much Less Radial Smearing than LDAR
  • Used to Cluster Detections into Same Flash
  • Time Difference Between Events Also Used
  • Possible New Algorithm
  • Set Radial Error Increase with Range to
    Azimuthally Rate
  • Location Errors Circles Growing in Radius
    with Range
  • Assumes Radial Smearing Eliminated
  • Azimuthally Error Rate with Range Needs Retuning

20
21
4DLSS
Location Error Models
21
22
4DLSS
  • Future Possibilities
  • Upgrade Old LDAR Display Processor and Monitor
  • Many Step Leaders Detected but not Displayed,
    due to Low Throughput of Old LDAR Display
    System, which was not Upgraded Under 4DLSS
    Project
  • Status Requirement Statement Submitted
  • Long-term Sustainability of LDAR-II and IMPACT
    Sensors has Become Problematic
  • Status
  • LDAR-II SMC Purchased Spare Parts.
    Analysis of Impact Pending
  • CGLSS Possible Replacement with LS7001
    Sensors, Funding Under
    Consideration

22
23
4DLSS
  • Future Possibilities (can't.)
  • Incorporate Nearby NLDN Sensors in Real-time
  • 9 NLDN Sensors in FL, GA, and Bahamas
  • Reduce Problem of Local Strong Strokes being
    Missed
  • 25 of Return Strokes 50 KA in Network are
    Missed ( 2.5 of All Return Strokes Missed)
  • Improve Location Accuracy
  • Documented Location Accuracies Assume All
    CGLSS Sensors are used in Solution. That is
    Often not True
  • Reduce Highly Eccentric Error Ellipses
  • When Few Sensors Used in Solution, Highly
    Eccentric Error Ellipses Can Result
  • Can Make it Hard to Tell if a Return Stroke
    Exceeded the Distance/Intensity Thresholds to
    Inspect Payload Vehicle
  • Status Feasibility Being Investigation

23
24
4DLSS
  • Future Possibilities (can't.)
  • Acquire Fault Analysis and Lightning Location
    System (FALLS) from Vaisala, Inc.
  • Allow Viewing of Error Ellipse for
    Individual Return Strokes
  • Other Capabilities
  • Status Purchased, Awaiting Delivery
  • Add 1-3 More Sensors (10-12 Total)
  • New Site Locations TBD
  • Status No Action Taken,
    Subject to Funding
  • Eliminate Occasional Noise Problem
  • Status No Action Taken

24
25
Summary
  • Lightning and Space Launch in Florida
  • Four-Dimensional Lightning Surveillance System
    (4DLSS)
  • 40 More Step Leaders than LDAR
  • 150 More Return Strokes than CGLSS
  • All Return Strokes vs. One per Flash in CGLSS
  • Implemented Apr 08

25
26
Lightning Detection SystemsUsed for Americas
Space Program in Florida
Questions? william.roeder_at_patrick.af.mil
26
27
27
28
Example of Some 4DLSS IC-Ltg Advantages - Same
Date/Time/Sample Volume
LDAR
4DLSS
  • Better Detection Rate
  • LDAR 900 Detections/Min
  • 4DLSS 1,400 Detections/Min
  • 4DLSS Reported 47 More Step Leaders than
    LDAR in this Case

28
29
Example of Some 4DLSS IC-Ltg Advantages - Same
Date/Time/Sample Volume
LDAR
4DLSS
  • Aircraft Noise Eliminated
  • Unexpected Benefit
  • Caused by Wider Network and Noise Reduction
    (weak signals from aircraft fall below
    lightning detection thresholds more often
    with wider spaced sensors and so dont meet
    the required number of sensors to be lightning)

29
30
Example of Some 4DLSS IC-Ltg Advantages - Same
Date/Time/Sample Volume
LDAR
4DLSS
  • Better Detection Rate
  • Cells Missed by LDAR may be due to
    Non-synchronized Update Times, Rather than
    Better Detection Rate

30
31
CGLSS
Example of Some 4DLSS CG-Ltg Advantages - Same
Date/Time/Sample Area
4DLSS
  • CGLSS 5,916 Strokes 4DLSS 15,686 Strokes
  • 4DLSS Reported 165 More Return Strokes than
    CGLSS in this Case

31
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