Ghost of Christmas Yet to Come

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Ghost of Christmas Yet to Come

• What will biofuels look like by the middle of the
  21st century?
• John Sheehan

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• Petro-chaos
• Excitement over ethanol
• The buzz about biodiesel
• Biomass futures yet to come
• If I had a million dollars...

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Petro-chaos
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Petro-chaos
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Petro-chaos
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My bet is on high oil
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Excitement over ethanol
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Excitement over ethanol
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Excitement over ethanol
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Excitement over ethanol
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Excitement over ethanol
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Excitement over ethanol
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Excitement over ethanol
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The buzz about biodiesel
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The buzz about biodiesel
Actual annual production of biodiesel
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The buzz about biodiesel
397 MMgal/yr today Over 700 MMgal/yr projected
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The buzz about biodiesel
85 million metric tons per year of soybeans 3
bgal/yr of oil Planned capacity approaching 30
soy oil?
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Futures yet-to-come
"Men's courses will foreshadow certain ends, to
which, if persevered in, they must lead," said
Scrooge. "But if the courses be departed from,
the ends will change. Say it is thus with what
you show me."
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Technology yet-to-come
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Technology yet-to-come
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Technology yet-to-come
My analysis focuses on biological processing of
ag residues and energy crops to ethanol - New
enzymes - New microbes - All-in-one nirvana
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Technology yet-to-come
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Biomass yet-to-come
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Biomass yet-to-come
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Biomass yet-to-come
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Bioethanol yet-to-come
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Biomass yet-to-come
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Other futures
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Other futures
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Other futures
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Other futures
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Other futures
We need to seek holistic solutions to climate
change and energy security in transportation Biof
uels is not THE answer
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Ghost of Christmas Past
Moral equivalent of war
Synfuels Gasohol SERI
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If I had a million dollars
Many other options besides ethanol and
biodiesel How big can corn get? The hydrogen
economy? What will trigger investors to move
from corn ethanol to other biofuels?