Development, Energy and Climate Project Phase 2 First Workshop Paris, 1314 February 2005

1
Development, Energy and Climate Project Phase 2
First Workshop Paris, 13-14 February 2005
Brazilian Case Studies for Phase 2
COPPE / Federal University of Rio de
Janeiro Emilio Lèbre La Rovere emilio_at_ppe.ufrj.br
Amaro Pereira André Pereira André
Simões Francisco Eduardo Mendes Lila Svarczfiter
Ricardo Cunha
2
Phase I Energy Issues

• GHG Emissions Mitigation as a Co-Benefit of the
  Ethanol Program
• The role of renewables in providing universal
  access to electricity

3
Ethanol Program

• largest commercial application of biomass for
  energy production and use in the world
• Successfully showed technical feasibility of
  large-scale sugarcane ethanol production and use
  to fuel car engines
• 5 million cars gt 7 billion liters/year 5
  billion liters/year for the gasohol

4
Ethanol Program

• Sugar cane bagasse use as an industrial fuel and
  for power generation has been growing
• Surplus of electricity to be injected in the
  grid
• Foreign exchange savings
• 720,000 direct jobs and more than 200,000
  indirect jobs in rural areas

5
Ethanol Program

• Curbing the increase of local air pollution
• Mitigation 6 to 10 million tons of carbon/year
  since 1980

6
Renewables and Universal Access to electricity

• Recent regulations require utilities to ensure
  electricity supply to all households of the
  country up to 2015
• This demand pull provides a good opportunity
  for decentralized power generation from
  renewables to complement conventional options to
  achieve this goal (grid extension and diesel
  generators)

7
Renewables and Universal Access to electricity

• Renewable energy development more sustainable
  patterns of energy supply environmental, social
  and economic co-benefits
• Use of renewables could also help to accelerate
  the achievement of targets to ensure full
  coverage of electricity needs of low-income
  populations living in remote locations

8
Renewables and Universal Access to electricity

• Tapping renewables potential gt an appropriate
  regulatory framework must be established,
  allowing for capacity building and appropriate
  incentives to motivate action by different
  stakeholders
• Clean Development Mechanism is also a potential
  tool

9
Phase 2 Case StudiesModern Biofuels for
Transport and Power Generation

• The expansion of the Ethanol Program
  contribution to sustainable development and GHG
  Emissions Mitigation (pros and cons policy tools
  to maximize social and environmental benefits)
• The introduction of biodiesel as a transport fuel
  and for decentralised power generation (access to
  electricity)

10
Phase 2 Workplan

• 1. National Level
• 1.1. The Energy System
• 1.1.1. Long-term Scenarios
• 1.1.1.1. Methodological Tools
• 1.1.1.2. Scenarios Elaboration and Selection
• 1.1.2. Assessment of Brazilian Energy System
  Sustainability
• 1.1.2.1. Methodological Approach
• 1.1.2.2. Sustainability Analysis of Energy
  Scenarios

11
Phase 2 Workplan

• 2.Case Studies Modern Biofuels for Transport and
  Power Generation
• 2.1. The Expansion of the Ethanol Program
• 2.1.1.Scenarios for Ethanol Use as a Transport
  Fuel, Ethanol Production and Exports, and Sugar
  Cane Bagasse Use for Grid-Connected Power
  Generation
• 2.1.2.Comparative Analysis of Options
• 2.1.2.1. Methodological Approach Sustainability
  Indicators
• 2.1.2.2. Sustainability Assessment of Options
• 2.1.3. Barriers to the Adoption of Most
  Sustainable Options

12
Phase 2 Workplan

• 2.2. The Biodiesel Program
• 2.2.1.Scenarios for Biodiesel Use as a Transport
  Fuel, Biodiesel Production and for Generation
• 2.2.2.Comparative Analysis of Options
• 2.2.2.1. Methodological Approach Sustainability
  Indicators
• 2.2.2.2. Sustainability Assessment of Options
• 2.2.3. Barriers to the Adoption of Most
  Sustainable Options

13
Phase 2 Workplan

• 2.3. Stakeholders Dialogue
• 2.3.1. Preparation
• 2.3.2. Expected Outcomes
• 2.4. Action Plan to Overcome Barriers to
  Sustainable Options
• 2.1.5.1. Backcasting Targets and Timetables
• 2.1.5.2. Regulatory Framework
• 2.1.5.3. Policy tools
• 2.5. Conclusions Key Findings and Research
  Issues