Title: An Energy Control Center for a Network of Distributed Generators
1An Energy Control Center for a Network of
Distributed Generators
- By Etienne Dupuis
- Supervisor Dr. J.H Taylor
2Topics
- Power systems and Distributed Generators.
- A control center for distributed generators.
- Renewable energy and forecasting.
- Control center algorithms.
- A new Unit Commitment Algorithm.
3Power Systems
- Large units and high voltage transmission lines.
- Fifteen units in New Brunswick.
- Installed capacity of 3948 MW.
- 6665 km of transmission lines.
Source www.nbpower.com
4Distributed Generators
- Ratings from tens of kW to a few MW.
- Both renewable and non-renewable technologies are
available. - Some units can be situated close to the customer.
- The NIMBY factor and deregulation favor
distributed generation.
5ASPRIs Distributed Generators
- Renewable
- Wind Turbine, 30kW
- Dorchester, NB
- Small Hydro, 25kW
- York Mills, NB
- Non-Renewable
- Fuel Cell,
- Saint-Johns, NL
- Micro-gas turbine,
- Fredericton, NB
6This Project
- Aggregate the controls of distributed generators.
- Provides a basis to include distributed
generators in the economic dispatch and ancillary
service dispatch.
Integrating distributed generators
7Optimization of DG generation
- Forecasting / Bidding
- Generation Scheduling
- Economic Dispatch
- Unit Commitment
- Ancillary services
- Hydro-Thermal Scheduling
8Forecasting
- Forecasting wind speed improves the scheduling of
our power system. - Forecasting the hydraulic head of hydro units
improves the hydro-thermal schedule. - Classical time series forecasting, neural
networks and meteorological methods will be
investigated in this project.
9Time Series Analysis
- The correlation between measurements is used to
estimate an ARMA model to fit the data. - Extensions are available for handling seasonal
series.
Lag 1 and lag 2 correlations for MA models
10Neural Networks
- Feed-forward neural networks are composed of an
input, hidden and output layer. - The inputs are weighted, summed and passed trough
a non-linear function before being used as input
to the next layer. - The weights of the network are adjusted so that
the output of the network approximates that of
the system.
11Meteorology
- Forecasts from environment Canada are a start.
- Numerical weather prediction provide increased
lead times. - Ensemble forecasts are an interesting way to
estimate confidence in the forecast.
Source weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca
12Economic Dispatch
- Cost of thermal generators are expressed as
quadratic functions of their power output. - The optimization is constrained by the physical
limits of the generators and the need to meet the
power demand.
Cost Contours for 2 generators
13Unit Commitment
- Another optimization problem.
- Which thermal units to assign to meet demand and
minimize cost. - Unlike the Economic Dispatch problem, Unit
Commitment is hard! - To find the optimal solution for N generators, we
could have to perform an economic dispatch 2N
times.
14Lagrangian Relaxation
- A commonly used solution to the Unit Commitment
problem. - The solution is iterative and determines which
unit to commit based on the profitability for a
given marginal cost of power. - This method does not always yield an optimal
solution.
15Another problem with Lagrangian Relaxation
- Identical units are an irritant because they get
committed by the algorithm at the same time. - If distributed generation becomes widely used,
identical units are bound to turn up.
16Solving the UC by sintering
- Use algebra to obtain the quadratic parameters of
the optimal path. - We obtain the optimal commitments for the two
units over their full feasible range.
17Algorithm output
- We end up with 5 quadratic curves which represent
the lowest cost as a function of power for these
units. - The good news is we can keep going!
18Cost Curve Sintering for 20 units
- The sintering method returned the same commitment
vector as CE 100 of the time. - Sintering ran in 1.437 seconds, it took 220
minutes to run CE at P5 resolution. - Sintering yields more info.
19Error Analysis
- The difference between the costs returned by the
two methods is introduced by the tolerance of the
CE method. - The circles in the stem plot are x10 accuracy.
20Computation time for sintering
- Sintering took 69 minutes
- Predicted time for CE, 6.41050
-
- YEARS!
21Solving the UC for multiple hours
- Start-up costs make solving the UC more
difficult. - Sintering is a good match to Dynamic Programming,
because it provides a list of good unit
combinations.
22Including transition costs
- The movie on the right shows the effect of
progressively adding faster states to the
sintered commitments. - DP is run over 100 time instances, with a
sinusoidal forcing function.
23Sintered curves for bidding
- ProfitP( / W)-Cost.
- The degree of uncertainty of the wind forecast
could be used alongside the profit curve to make
a bid into the power pool.
24Hydro-thermal scheduling
- Power from hydro plants is a function of flow,
hydraulic head and turbine efficiency. - Constraints on the drawdown and storage can be
significant factors. - Plants can be coupled hydraulically in series or
parallel. - Solutions are specific to the hydro system under
study.
25Hydrological Forecasting
- Real time hydrometric data is available from
Water Survey of Canada. - Water levels are a function of precipitation,
soil saturation, vegetation and other factors.
Source Environment Canada
26References
- Power Generation Operation Control, Allen J.
Wood, Bruce F. Wollenberg. - Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control
third edition, George E.P. Box, Gwilym M.
Jenkins, Gregory C. Reinsel. - Artificial Neural Networks, Forecasting Time
Series, V. Rao Vemuri, Robert D. Rogers. - Wind Power Prediction using Ensembles, Riso
institute. - Unit Commitment A bibliographical Survey,
Narayana Prasad Padhy.
27Significance
- Power system scheduling at the distributed
generator level enables this technology. - Generator aggregation could lead to a new
solution to the unit commitment problem. - Renewable generators make the specific goals of
ASPRI coherent with those of utilities
incorporating wind power to their system.
28Questions ?