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Title: From the Concept of Risk and Risk Management to Parameters for Action: A Basic Summary


1
REGIONAL PROGRAMME ON RISK MANAGEMENT IN CENTRAL
AMERICA
  • From the Concept of Risk and Risk Management to
    Parameters for Action A Basic Summary
  • Allan Lavell, Ph.D.

2
The usefulness of the concept
  • A proper global concept of the notion of risk and
    risk management, and proper intermediate
    concepts, should help to formulate approaches and
    to provide a guide for action and intervention.
  • Concepts alone do not define the most appropriate
    instruments and actions to implement they do,
    however, shape them and facilitate identification
    of relevant parameters for intervention.

3
Disaster Risk A Basic Definition
  • The probability of future damage and loss
    reaching proportions that outstrip the
    independent capabilities for response and
    recovery of the social unit affected.
  • Placing the emphasis on risk facilitates
    approaching the problem from the standpoint of a
    process and NOT an end product, i.e., disaster.

4
DISASTER RISK Management
  • A complex social process through which society
    attempts to consciously reduce the levels of
    disaster risk and control the advent of new risk
    in the future.

5
Characteristics of Disaster Risk and its
Significance Concerning Risk Management
  • DISASTER RISK is characterised by the following
    issues and implications relating to intervention,
    type and organisation

6
DISASTER RISK
  • A latent condition representing potential harm
    in the future
  • Implies that risk may be anticipated, allowing
    society to intervene ahead of time with
    prevention, mitigation, reduction and control or
    preparation measures

7
DISASTER RISK
  • Exists because an interaction and relationship
    exists between physical hazard factors and human
    vulnerability in certain defined spaces or
    territories and affecting different social groups
  • This means that risk may be reduced or
    controlled
  • By controlling the degrees of exposure of the
    society
  • By avoiding the transformation of natural
    resources into hazards through processes of
    environmental deterioration
  • By limiting exposure of the society to physical
    phenomena by means of structures to hold them
    back (dikes, terracing, walls)
  • By increasing the resilience of production
    systems of the society vis-à-vis physical
    phenomena
  • By lowering the vulnerability of society in its
    various structural dimensions.
  • By anticipating future risk and by controlling
    its development through regulation (prospective
    management)

8
DISASTER RISK
  • Risk is invariably a social construction, the
    result of determined and changing social
    processes that chiefly derive from styles and
    models of development and different processes of
    social and economic transformation.
  • With regard to vulnerability, it is definitely a
    social construction.
  • Purely anthropic and socio-natural threats are
    clearly the product of society itself.
  • Natural threats are considered a social
    construction because the transformation of a
    possible physical phenomenon into a threat to
    society is determined by the level of exposure
    and vulnerability of the society.

9
DISASTER RISK
  • Risk seen as a social construction means that
  • Society is in a position to deconstruct and to
    control what it constructs.
  • Inasmuch as risk is the result of social and
    economic processes linked to development models
    and styles, reduction and control can only be
    successful if risk management is viewed as a
    component of sectoral, territorial, development,
    environment and sustainability management and
    planning.
  • Risk may be identified with the results of the
    actions of given social actors. Consequently,
    risk management is not possible without the
    collaboration of these actors and mechanisms to
    control their detrimental actions.

10
DISASTER RISK
  • Risk, and the hazards and vulnerabilities that
    explain it, are dynamic and changeable. Change
    can be slow and almost imperceptible, occurring
    over the short term or quickly and even abruptly
    or violently both of these situations are due to
    changes in the physical environment and in social
    and economic processes. These various states of
    disaster risk allow for discussion of a risk
    continuum (as opposed to a disaster cycle) in
    which three basic risk categories and conditions
    that are important to the subject of risk
    management may be identified
  • Primary or structural risk
  • Derived, secondary or circumstantial risk
  • Reconstructed or extended risk
  • Each successive state is built upon, maintains
    and expands upon the conditions present in the
    preceding state. Hence, the continuum is not only
    expressed in the changes of state but also in the
    relationship between current and preceding
    states.

11
DISASTER RISK
  • The significance of the dynamic and changing
    nature of risk for management practice is as
    follows
  • The scenario of risk, hazard and vulnerability
    factors constantly change and cannot be captured
    in a snap-shot image. This means that data must
    be updated regularly through constant monitoring
    and analysis of the environment and society. It
    also means that the task of putting together risk
    scenarios and maps and processes of permanent
    analysis calls for decentralisation and
    participation of the subjects of risk, their
    organisations, and other regional, local or
    community structures.
  • Risk Management as an organised,
    institutionalised practice and uses the risk
    continuum as a point of reference. Thus,
    Management constitutes a comprehensive,
    transversal practice and philosophy, envisaging
    what has been traditionally referred to as
    disaster prevention, mitigation and preparation,
    as well as emergency response, rehabilitation and
    reconstruction.

12
DISASTER RISK
  • Risk Management requires organisational and
    institutional structures that bring together
    different actors and capacities, invariably
    taking development as their principal point of
    reference. It requires acknowledgement of the
    differentiated importance wielded by experts in
    development and in the humanitarian response to
    disaster.

13
DISASTER RISK
  • Risk may be assessed objectively, but it may also
    de assessed subjectively. This subjectivity
    refers to the different ways in which the
    subjects of risk perceive and measure risk, their
    notions on acceptable risk, their priorities with
    regard to diverse risk contexts and their
    decisions as regards risk reduction

14
DISASTER RISK
  • In practice, this means that
  • In risk management, the real and full
    participation of the subjects of risk is
    indispensable.
  • Often, those subject to risk, particularly the
    poor, judge disaster risk in the light of the
    current, permanent conditions of their own
    existence. This means that risk management must
    be implemented as a practice within the framework
    of development management actions so that it is
    not relegated, ignored or marginalised.
  • The objectives of primary risk reduction
    management are most successfully and permanently
    achieved if management is carried out within the
    framework of pre-existing sectorial and
    territorial development organisations and
    institutions and not by institutions created
    specifically to promote risk management.

15
DISASTER RISK
  • 6. Disaster risk is most precisely measured and
    perceived at microsocial and territorial levels.
  • This means that
  • A large scale disaster is actually a series of
    local, community, family and personal disasters
  • Properly gauging risk entails closer local
    involvement and participation
  • Risk awareness is expressed at the microsocial
    and territorial level, and this is often where
    concerns tend to arise as well as intentions to
    reduce and control it

16
DISASTER RISK
  • Local risk management has been established as an
    option that is genuine, necessary and valid.
    Local management requires
  • The participation of local actors
  • Their appropriation of management
  • The backing of external actors in the form of
    support and promotion
  • The need for local organisational-institutional
    structures
  • The pursuit of sustainability resulting from
    participation, appropriation and the
    consolidation of local structures

17
DISASTER RISK
  • THE LOCAL SPHERE
  • Discourse about the local sphere has led to
    problems due to lack of definition and to the
    diversity of disciplinary concepts with respect
    to this issue. Moreover, there is a trend toward
    reducing the scope of the local sphere to the
    municipal level.
  • There are several important points that should
    be considered concerning this issue

18
DISASTER RISK
  • First. To begin with, it is crucial for there to
    be a subnational and subregional management
    level.
  • Second. The most appropriate level of
    intervention refers to what can be termed risk
    territories, where the following exists
  • A certain homogeneity in development conditions
    and processes.
  • A certain level of homogeneity as regards the
    types of risk scenario
  • Groups of social actors with a sense of
    territorial belonging and close, conflicting or
    collaborative relations

19
DISASTER RISK
  • .
  • Third. These territories can actually be smaller
    than a municipality, span municipal boundaries
    or, in a very limited number of cases, coincide
    with municipal boundaries.

20
DISASTER RISK
  • Fifth. If the municipality becomes the
    predominant expression of the local sphere, it is
    not because this is the only option, but, rather,
    because
  • Management requires permanent, consolidated and
    sustainable organisational-institutional
    structures.
  • The municipality is a truly practical option
    given its importance in promoting local
    development, consolidating decentralisation,
    negotiating and coordinating with other social
    actors and, finally, because of its authority to
    regulate and control local development and land
    use.

21
DISASTER RISK
  • Sixth. This does not mean that the municipality
    is the only possible option, but it is the most
    prevalent, conspicuous and permanent one and, in
    principle, it wields the highest degree of
    legitimacy.
  • Seventh. The local sphere must also coordinate
    and be built upon other hierarchically lower
    territorial and social levels, such as the
    sub-local level, the town, the community and even
    the family.

22
DISASTER RISK
  • 7. Risk is best represented and is materialized
    at the microsocial and territorial levels.
    Nevertheless, its causes cannot be restricted to
    these levels alone. Local risk is also the
    result of social processes and actors that are
    extra-local, regional, national and even
    international.
  • This means that

23
DISASTER RISK
  • Local management cannot be conducted autonomously
    and requires relations, concertation,
    coordination and management with other
    territorial levels which may include
  • Hydrographical basins
  • Economic, natural, development-based regions, and
    the like
  • Municipal associations
  • Local management requires the promotion of
    capacities for negotiation and concertation with
    internal and external actors in the search for
    their backing and collaboration.

24
DISASTER RISK
  • 8. Disaster risk is a component or dimension of
    global risk, which has other dimensions and
    determining factors. Moreover, disaster risk is
    often built upon other manifestations of risk,
    particularly what could be termed every day or
    chronic risk. This notion refers to risks
    particularly faced by the poor in their daily
    lives (unemployment, lack of income,
    malnutrition, proneness to illness, social and
    domestic violence, etc.).

25
DISASTER RISK
  • This chronic risk is
  • A reflection and component of the definition of
    underdevelopment, poverty and the lack of
    sustainability
  • A condition that significantly contributes to the
    social construction of disaster risk, hazards and
    vulnerabilities
  • An important point to consider and a component of
    the disaster risk construction process for
    hundreds of millions of people worldwide

26
DISASTER RISK
  • Implications of these considerations for
    DISASTER risk management
  • Management must take place within a framework
    that TAKES CLOSELY INTO ACCOUNT the CHRONIC risk
    and poverty conditions of the population.
  • Given the high priority assigned by the
    population to THE REDUCTION OF CHRONIC risk, and
    considering their own capacities for survival and
    adaptation, disaster risk management must be
    closely associated with chronic risk and the
    mechanisms used by the population to deal with it
    should be used as a fundamental point of
    reference.
  • Risk management is a parameter and component of
    development, environmental and global human
    security management and planning and essential
    to achieving sustainability.

27
DISASTER RISK
  • 9. Conclusions
  • At every aspect and level, disaster risk
    management cannot be successfully achieved
    without
  • A close relationship with development and
    development management
  • Being viewed as a process and not a product
  • Participation of and appropriation by individuals
    subject to risk and their organisations, and the
    creation of permanent, sustainable
    organisational-institutional structures
  • Integration of social actors from various
    different territorial levels
  • Being viewed as a transversal, comprehensive
    phenomenon
  • Pursuing temporal and territorial sustainability
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