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A possible explanation for

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O'Toole's Comment Murphy was an optimist! Harris' Corollary solving any problem immediately creates at least two more problems. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: A possible explanation for


1
A possible explanation for Murphys Law
  • Mr Paul Harris

2
Murphys Law
  • Anything that can go wrong will go wrong, at the
    worst possible moment and in the worst possible
    way.
  • OTooles Comment Murphy was an optimist!
  • Harris Corollary solving any problem
    immediately creates at least two more problems.

3
Harris Law
  • The harder you push any system the more unstable
    it becomes and the more management it requires

4
Examples for Illustration
  • Engines
  • F1 vs family car
  • Thrashed car vs old lady car
  • Your own body
  • Sensible vs Workaholic
  • Top athlete vs Joe Average
  • Cycling
  • Mavericks puncture rate vs Ys puncture rate
  • Our Back Yard

5
Our Back Yard
Pushed by dogs, flooding
No dogs or flooding
6
Types of Systems
  • Many systems need some management to operate
    stably
  • too little or too much pushing causes problems.
  • e.g. the human body
  • Other systems respond linearly
  • more management gives better results, up to a
    point.
  • e.g. a sports team
  • Some systems should be left alone
  • any management decreases results
  • e.g. wilderness

7
Conclusions
  • Harris law appears to apply in a wide range of
    situations and
  • provides a basis for developing more robust
    systems
  • Some systems can be pushed by both increasing
    and decreasing inputs, both of which require more
    management to return the system to a stable
    state.
  • This stable state is not necessarily at optimum
    performance. (it depends on your criteria!)
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