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The Theory of Economics does not furnish a body of settled conclusions immediately applicable to pol

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The Theory of Economics does not furnish a body of settled conclusions immediately applicable to pol – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: The Theory of Economics does not furnish a body of settled conclusions immediately applicable to pol


1
The Theory of Economics does notfurnish a body
of settled conclusionsimmediately applicable to
policy. It isa method rather than a doctrine,
anapparatus of the mind, a technique ofthinking
which helps its possessor todraw correct
conclusions --- John Maynard Keynes
2
Economic Modeling
  • What causes what in economic systems?
  • At what level of detail shall we model an
    economic phenomenon?
  • Which variables are determined outside the model
    (exogenous) and which are to be determined by the
    model (endogenous)?

3
Modeling the Flat Rental Market
  • How are flats/apartments rents determined?
  • Suppose
  • flats are close or distant, but otherwise
    identical
  • distant flats rents are exogenous and known
  • many potential renters and landlords
  • Price of close flats is endogenous.

4
An Economists concerns Modeling the Apartment
Market
  • Who will rent close apartments?
  • At what price?
  • Will the allocation of apartments be desirable in
    any sense?
  • How can we construct an insightful model to
    answer these questions?

5
Economic Modeling Assumptions
  • Two basic postulates
  • Rational Choice Each person tries to choose the
    best alternative available to him or her.
  • Competitive Equilibrium Market price adjusts
    until quantity demanded equals quantity supplied.

6
Solving
  • What does the demand curve look like?
  • Supply curve.
  • Equilibrium.
  • What if there isnt a competitive equilibrium?
  • (If there is Monopolist or Rent Control)

7
Discrete Demand
  • If Jack has a willingness to pay of 300, what
    does that mean.
  • Can get far flat at 200. With 100, travel and
    inconvenience costs.
  • If pgt300, he wont buy.
  • If plt300, he would buy and get surplus of
  • Sample Demand
  • Bill 200
  • Sam 100
  • George 300
  • Pete 400
  • Ted 200

8
Pareto Efficiency/Optimality
  • Vilfredo Pareto 1848-1923.
  • A Pareto outcome allows no wasted welfare
  • i.e. the only way one persons welfare can be
    improved is to lower another persons welfare.
  • You cant make someone better off without making
    someone else worse off.

9
Pareto Optimality/Efficiency
  • An allocation is a possible distribution of goods
    in the economy.
  • An allocation is Pareto optimal if there does not
    exist another allocation where no one is worse
    off and at least one person is strictly better
    off.
  • Bill Ted have 10 between them. What are the
    P.O. allocations?

10
Pareto Efficiency
  • Jill has an apartment Jack does not.
  • Jill values the apartment at 200 Jack would pay
    400 for it.
  • Jill could sublet the apartment to Jack for 300.
  • Both gain, so it was Pareto inefficient for Jill
    to have the apartment.

11
Pareto Efficiency
  • Competitive equilibrium
  • all close flat renters value them at the market
    price p or more
  • all others value close apartments at less than p
  • so no mutually beneficial trades remain
  • so the outcome is Pareto efficient.

12
Pareto Efficiency
  • Discriminatory Monopoly
  • assignment of flats is the same as with the
    perfectly competitive market
  • so the discriminatory monopoly outcome is also
    Pareto efficient.

13
Pareto Efficiency
  • Monopoly
  • not all flats are occupied
  • so a distant flat renter could be assigned a
    close flat and have higher welfare without
    lowering anybody elses welfare.
  • so the monopoly outcome is Pareto inefficient.

14
Pareto Efficiency
  • Rent Control
  • some close flats are assigned to renters valuing
    them at below the competitive price p
  • some renters valuing a close flat above p dont
    get close flats
  • Pareto inefficient outcome.
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