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Economize RealTime Simulation

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Demonstrate capacity increase through real-time demonstration. ... Human cognition modelling (MIDAS, PUMA, IPME, TOPAZ) Accident risk (Safety Cases, TOPAZ) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Economize RealTime Simulation


1
Economize Real-Time Simulation
  • Idea Henk Blom
  • Supporters Ronald van Gent
  • Brian Hilburn
  • Sybert Stroeve
  • Wim Post (Presenter)
  • National Aerospace Laboratory NLR

2
Economize real-time simulation
  • Why real-time simulation?
  • What has changed?
  • Where to economize?
  • The Proposal

3
Why real-time simulation?
  • To identify human responses to
  • Man-machine-interface and technical systems
  • Human cognition / reaction to new operation

4
Examples
  • PD/3 at NLR
  • Approach
  • Demonstrate capacity increase through real-time
    demonstration.
  • Validate controller acceptance
  • Free Flight of NLR for NASA
  • Approach
  • early model of pilot cognitive processes
  • Then, assess benefits

5
What has changed?
  • Many more operational concept options
  • More attention to net effect for airlines and
    human society
  • Increasing role of analysis fast-time
    simulation
  • Economy (Business cases)
  • Capacity (TAAM, etc)
  • Environment (INM,)
  • Human cognition modelling (MIDAS, PUMA, IPME,
    TOPAZ)
  • Accident risk (Safety Cases, TOPAZ)

6
Closing the gap
  • Real-time simulation feedback to fast-time
  • Fast-time simulation and analysis feedback to
    real-time

7
Psychological models
  • Information processing models
  • Pilot performance (MIDAS, IPME and others)
  • ATCo performance (MIDAS and PUMA)
  • Human Error Modelling
  • Aviation accident investigation
  • Hollnagel Control Mode Model

8
Hollnagel (1993)
9
First example Human modelling ? Real-Time
  • Recent human cognition models (NASA NLR)
  • Hollnagels cognitive control model
  • Amalbertis error recovery model
  • Situational Awareness error evolution(paper 92
    of ATM 2000 Conference http//atm-seminar-2000.e
    urocontrol.fr/acceptedpapers/index.htm)
  • Definition of dedicated real-time experiments in
    SA error evolution
  • Economical benefit Systematic approach towards
    real-time simulation of non-nominal situations.

10
Second example Real-Time ? Safety Cases
  • Key problem of safety cases building are the
    unimagineable hazards
  • Example French-built oil platform
  • After few years French crew replaced by Dutch
    crew
  • Productivity down / Errors up
  • Hazard headache due to bumping heads against low
    doorways
  • New operational concepts Many unimagineable
    hazards in the beginning
  • Understanding increases due to human experience
    in real-time simulation
  • Economical benefit shortening safety case
    building process

11
Proposal
  • Identify the growing gap
  • Identify the range of options to close this gap
  • Develop solutions for the two examples mentioned
  • Provide economical cost-benefit figures
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